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Super League
Aris
S S T S U
0–1
Full-time
AEK
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Super League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 64%
67%
60%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
40%
53%
Both score Ø 40%
27%
53%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 1
22 Free kicks against 30
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris 3. · AEK 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 17 14 3 0 +37 45
2 Aris Thessalonikis 15 10 3 2 +13 33
3 Aris 15 10 3 2 +13 33
4 PAOK 17 9 5 3 +13 32
5 AEK 15 9 3 3 +9 30
6 Panathinaikos 17 7 4 6 +4 25
7 Atromitos 17 5 7 5 -5 22
8 Asteras Tripolis 17 5 6 6 -5 21
9 OFI Crete 17 5 4 8 -8 19
10 Volos NFC 18 4 7 7 -9 19
11 Giannina 18 3 8 7 -4 17
12 Apollon 16 4 3 9 -5 15
13 Panetolikos 17 2 5 10 -12 11
14 Larisa 16 1 5 10 -20 8
15 Lamia 16 2 2 12 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,90
U
2,94
B ✓
2,55
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,59
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.