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Champions League
Referee: S Vincic
Chelsea
T S S T T
0–3
Full-time
Paris SG
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 56%
56%
55%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
78%
82%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
82%
Average goals
3,8
4,4
Scored
2,1
2,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,26 xG 1,09
45% Possession 55%
18 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Mar -26 Paris SG – Chelsea 5–2

Match report

Chelsea Paris SG
6′
⚽ K. Kvaratskhelia 0–1
14′
⚽ B. Barcola 0–2
A. Hakimi
Half-time 0–2
J. Acheampong 🔁
↦ M. Sarr
46′
46′
🔁 S. Mayulu
↦ J. Neves
A. Garnacho 🔁
↦ C. Palmer
59′
L. Delap 🔁
↦ Joao Pedro
59′
59′
🔁 D. Doue
↦ B. Barcola
R. Lavia 🔁
↦ E. Fernandez
60′
62′
⚽ S. Mayulu 0–3
66′
🔁 G. Ramos
↦ O. Dembele
66′
🔁 L. Hernandez
↦ N. Mendes
T. Adarabioyo 🔁
↦ M. Cucurella
71′
73′
🔁 Lee Kang-In
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Chelsea

4-2-3-1
1 R. Sanchez G
19 M. Sarr D
23 T. Chalobah D
21 J. Hato D
3 M. Cucurella D
17 Andrey Santos M
25 M. Caicedo M
7 P. Neto M
10 C. Palmer M
8 E. Fernandez M
20 Joao Pedro F
Bench (12)
50 M. Merrick
28 T. Sharman-Lowe
29 W. Fofana
49 A. Garnacho
38 M. Guiu
41 Estêvão
4 T. Adarabioyo
9 L. Delap
45 R. Lavia
34 J. Acheampong
62 S. Mheuka
76 R. Kavuma McQueen

Coach: Liam Rosenior

Paris SG

4-3-3
39 M. Safonov G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 N. Mendes D
33 W. Zaire-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
87 J. Neves M
29 B. Barcola F
10 O. Dembele F
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (11)
30 L. Chevalier
89 R. Marin
9 G. Ramos
24 S. Mayulu
27 D. Fernandez
21 L. Hernandez
19 Lee Kang-In
6 I. Zabarnyi
4 L. Beraldo
14 D. Doue
49 I. Mbaye

Coach: Enrique Luis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vincic · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.