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Süper Lig

Referee: Cihan Aydin

Fenerbahce

U S T S S

2–2

Full-time

Alanyaspor

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Alanyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,14 xG 0,44

62% Possession 38%

19 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 0

4 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Alanyaspor 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+14	+10.4	15
2	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+5	+6.3	10
3	Trabzonspor	5	3	1	1	+2	-1.2	10
4	Goztep	5	2	3	0	+5	+0.4	9
5	Antalyaspor	5	3	0	2	+1	-1.4	9
6	Gaziantep	5	3	0	2	-2	-1.4	9
7	Konyaspor	4	2	1	1	+5	-0.2	7
8	Alanyaspor	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.7	7
9	Samsunspor	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.3	7
10	Besiktas	3	2	0	1	+0	+3.5	6
11	Rizespor	4	1	1	2	-4	+0.6	4
12	Eyüpspor	5	1	1	3	-5	-4.4	4
13	Kasimpasa	4	1	0	3	-2	-1.0	3
14	Kayserispor	4	0	3	1	-4	-3.7	3
15	Karagumruk	4	1	0	3	-5	-3.0	3
16	Buyuksehyr	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.6	2
17	Kocaelispor	5	0	1	4	-6	-2.1	1
18	Genclerbirligi	5	0	0	5	-6	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.9	7
2	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.4	6
3	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+3	+4.4	6
4	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.7	6
5	Gaziantep	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.0	6
6	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.8	4
7	Konyaspor	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.0	3
8	Antalyaspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
9	Samsunspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
10	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.5	3
11	Eyüpspor	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.7	3
12	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
13	Buyuksehyr	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
14	Kocaelispor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
15	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.7	1
16	Kasimpasa	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.3	0
17	Genclerbirligi	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.0	0
18	Karagumruk	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+9	+7.0	9
2	Goztep	3	2	1	0	+5	+0.6	7
3	Antalyaspor	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.8	6
4	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+3	-1.2	4
5	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.8	4
6	Samsunspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
7	Alanyaspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.1	3
8	Kasimpasa	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.3	3
9	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
10	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.4	3
11	Karagumruk	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.8	3
12	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.0	2
13	Eyüpspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
14	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.0	1
15	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
16	Besiktas	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
17	Genclerbirligi	3	0	0	3	-3	-2.8	0
18	Kocaelispor	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.