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Champions League
Referee: J Sanchez
Bayern Munich
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Chelsea
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
3,8
2,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+3,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,07 xG 0,73
56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Sanchez · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.