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Süper Lig

Referee: M Türkmen

Karagumruk

S S U T T

3–1

Full-time

Samsunspor

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 27%

24%

30%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

49%

41%

Both score Ø 54%

54%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,83 xG 0,98

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Karagumruk 18. · Samsunspor 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	37	32	3	2	+64	+46.3	99
2	Fenerbahce	37	30	6	1	+62	+59.2	96
3	Trabzonspor	37	20	4	13	+17	+1.6	64
4	Buyuksehyr	37	17	7	13	+10	+3.6	58
5	Besiktas	37	16	8	13	+6	+11.2	56
6	Kasimpasa	37	15	8	14	-4	-7.9	53
7	Alanyaspor	38	12	16	10	+3	+8.4	52
8	Sivasspor	37	13	12	12	-8	-7.2	51
9	Rizespor	37	14	8	15	-8	-7.2	50
10	Antalyaspor	38	12	13	13	-5	-9.2	49
11	Kayserispor	37	11	12	14	-12	-12.2	45
12	Ad. Demirspor	37	10	14	13	-3	-2.5	44
13	Samsunspor	37	11	10	16	-8	+6.3	43
14	Gaziantep	37	11	8	18	-8	-12.3	41
15	Konyaspor	37	9	14	14	-11	-11.3	41
16	Ankaragücü	37	8	16	13	-4	-5.5	40
17	Hatayspor	37	8	14	15	-9	-8.0	38
18	Karagumruk	37	9	10	18	-5	-15.2	37
19	Pendikspor	37	9	10	18	-30	-11.3	37
20	İstanbulspor	37	4	7	26	-47	-26.8	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	19	18	0	1	+36	+31.2	54
2	Fenerbahce	18	14	3	1	+33	+32.5	45
3	Rizespor	19	11	5	3	+13	+5.0	38
4	Samsunspor	19	10	5	4	+11	+9.3	35
5	Trabzonspor	18	11	1	6	+11	+6.9	34
6	Besiktas	19	10	4	5	+10	+9.5	34
7	Buyuksehyr	19	10	3	6	+11	+4.4	33
8	Antalyaspor	19	8	8	3	+4	-2.0	32
9	Ad. Demirspor	18	9	4	5	+7	+4.3	31
10	Alanyaspor	19	7	8	4	+6	+7.7	29
11	Kasimpasa	18	8	4	6	+0	-3.1	28
12	Karagumruk	18	7	6	5	+13	-1.1	27
13	Ankaragücü	19	6	9	4	+3	+0.9	27
14	Sivasspor	18	6	8	4	+3	+2.6	26
15	Kayserispor	19	6	8	5	+2	+1.3	26
16	Hatayspor	18	6	7	5	+2	-2.3	25
17	Gaziantep	19	6	6	7	-3	-5.8	24
18	Konyaspor	18	6	5	7	+2	-0.1	23
19	Pendikspor	18	6	3	9	-10	-4.0	21
20	İstanbulspor	19	2	3	14	-25	-16.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	19	16	3	0	+29	+26.7	51
2	Galatasaray	18	14	3	1	+28	+15.1	45
3	Trabzonspor	19	9	3	7	+6	-5.3	30
4	Buyuksehyr	18	7	4	7	-1	-0.8	25
5	Kasimpasa	19	7	4	8	-4	-4.8	25
6	Sivasspor	19	7	4	8	-11	-9.7	25
7	Alanyaspor	19	5	8	6	-3	+0.7	23
8	Besiktas	18	6	4	8	-4	+1.7	22
9	Kayserispor	18	5	4	9	-14	-13.6	19
10	Konyaspor	19	3	9	7	-13	-11.2	18
11	Gaziantep	18	5	2	11	-5	-6.5	17
12	Antalyaspor	19	4	5	10	-9	-7.2	17
13	Pendikspor	19	3	7	9	-20	-7.2	16
14	Ankaragücü	18	2	7	9	-7	-6.4	13
15	Ad. Demirspor	19	1	10	8	-10	-6.8	13
16	Hatayspor	19	2	7	10	-11	-5.7	13
17	Rizespor	18	3	3	12	-21	-12.2	12
18	Karagumruk	19	2	4	13	-18	-14.1	10
19	İstanbulspor	18	2	4	12	-22	-10.0	10
20	Samsunspor	18	1	5	12	-19	-3.0	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.