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Süper Lig

Referee: K Sağlam

Karagumruk

T U T T S

4–1

Full-time

Antalyaspor

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Antalyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 29%

24%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

42%

39%

Both score Ø 52%

48%

55%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,85 xG 0,51

33% Possession 67%

16 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Karagumruk 17. · Antalyaspor 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	34	30	3	1	+59	+45.5	93
2	Fenerbahce	34	28	5	1	+58	+54.8	89
3	Trabzonspor	34	18	4	12	+15	+3.6	58
4	Buyuksehyr	34	15	7	12	+7	+0.3	52
5	Besiktas	34	15	6	13	+5	+9.9	51
6	Kasimpasa	34	14	7	13	-3	-8.4	49
7	Rizespor	34	14	7	13	-6	-4.1	49
8	Alanyaspor	34	12	12	10	+3	+4.2	48
9	Sivasspor	34	12	12	10	-4	-4.9	48
10	Antalyaspor	33	11	12	10	+0	-1.9	45
11	Kayserispor	34	11	10	13	-9	-9.8	43
12	Ad. Demirspor	34	9	14	11	+2	-3.4	41
13	Samsunspor	34	10	9	15	-7	+4.3	39
14	Ankaragücü	34	8	14	12	-3	-4.5	38
15	Konyaspor	34	8	12	14	-14	-10.5	36
16	Gaziantep	34	9	7	18	-15	-16.7	34
17	Karagumruk	33	8	9	16	-5	-15.1	33
18	Hatayspor	34	7	12	15	-10	-5.5	33
19	Pendikspor	34	7	9	18	-32	-12.4	30
20	İstanbulspor	34	4	7	23	-41	-25.7	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	17	17	0	0	+32	+30.6	51
2	Fenerbahce	17	13	3	1	+30	+31.0	42
3	Rizespor	18	11	4	3	+13	+5.9	37
4	Ad. Demirspor	17	9	4	4	+12	+6.3	31
5	Samsunspor	17	9	4	4	+9	+6.7	31
6	Trabzonspor	17	10	1	6	+8	+6.7	31
7	Buyuksehyr	17	9	3	5	+9	+2.2	30
8	Besiktas	17	9	3	5	+9	+6.8	30
9	Antalyaspor	17	7	8	2	+4	+0.5	29
10	Alanyaspor	17	7	6	4	+6	+4.4	27
11	Sivasspor	17	6	8	3	+4	+3.6	26
12	Ankaragücü	17	6	7	4	+3	+2.0	25
13	Kasimpasa	17	7	4	6	-2	-4.7	25
14	Karagumruk	16	6	6	4	+11	-2.2	24
15	Kayserispor	17	6	6	5	+2	+2.3	24
16	Hatayspor	17	5	7	5	+1	-2.2	22
17	Gaziantep	17	5	5	7	-5	-8.2	20
18	Konyaspor	16	5	4	7	-1	+1.4	19
19	Pendikspor	17	5	3	9	-11	-5.2	18
20	İstanbulspor	17	2	3	12	-22	-15.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	17	15	2	0	+28	+23.9	47
2	Galatasaray	17	13	3	1	+27	+14.9	42
3	Trabzonspor	17	8	3	6	+7	-3.1	27
4	Kasimpasa	17	7	3	7	-1	-3.7	24
5	Buyuksehyr	17	6	4	7	-2	-1.8	22
6	Sivasspor	17	6	4	7	-8	-8.5	22
7	Alanyaspor	17	5	6	6	-3	-0.1	21
8	Besiktas	17	6	3	8	-4	+3.2	21
9	Kayserispor	17	5	4	8	-11	-12.1	19
10	Konyaspor	18	3	8	7	-13	-11.8	17
11	Antalyaspor	16	4	4	8	-4	-2.4	16
12	Gaziantep	17	4	2	11	-10	-8.5	14
13	Ankaragücü	17	2	7	8	-6	-6.6	13
14	Rizespor	16	3	3	10	-19	-9.9	12
15	Pendikspor	17	2	6	9	-21	-7.1	12
16	Hatayspor	17	2	5	10	-11	-3.3	11
17	Ad. Demirspor	17	0	10	7	-10	-9.6	10
18	İstanbulspor	17	2	4	11	-19	-9.9	10
19	Karagumruk	17	2	3	12	-16	-12.9	9
20	Samsunspor	17	1	5	11	-16	-2.4	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.