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Süper Lig
Referee: T Numanoğlu
Trabzonspor
S S U T T
2–3
Full-time
Kasimpasa
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
36%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
55%
73%
Both score Ø 62%
55%
68%
Average goals
2,9
3,7
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,86 xG 2,10
57% Possession 43%
21 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 3. · Kasimpasa 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 23 19 3 1 +43 +42.9 60
2 Galatasaray 22 18 3 1 +33 +28.8 57
3 Trabzonspor 22 11 4 7 +8 -2.2 37
4 Besiktas 23 11 3 9 +2 +9.8 36
5 Rizespor 23 10 5 8 -6 -4.4 35
6 Antalyaspor 23 8 10 5 +6 +3.2 34
7 Ad. Demirspor 23 7 10 6 +7 -1.4 31
8 Buyuksehyr 23 8 6 9 +1 -3.7 30
9 Kayserispor 23 8 6 9 -5 -6.9 30
10 Kasimpasa 22 8 5 9 -5 -8.5 29
11 Sivasspor 23 7 8 8 -7 -5.1 29
12 Ankaragücü 23 6 10 7 +2 -2.7 28
13 Alanyaspor 23 6 9 8 -7 +3.9 27
14 Samsunspor 23 7 5 11 -6 +2.5 26
15 Hatayspor 23 5 10 8 -3 -0.3 25
16 Karagumruk 23 6 6 11 +1 -10.3 24
17 Gaziantep 22 6 5 11 -8 -8.2 23
18 Pendikspor 23 5 8 10 -17 -8.1 23
19 Konyaspor 23 4 9 10 -14 -12.9 21
20 İstanbulspor 23 3 5 15 -25 -16.3 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Kasimpasa
1–0 E. Destan
E. Bardhi
19′
Half-time 1–1
47′
A. Kara 1–1
57′
ℹ️ Mamadou Fall
VAR: Penalty confirmed
58′
H. Hajradinović 1–2
61′
🟨 Taylan Utku Aydin
Rayyan Baniya 🟨
63′
U. Güneş 🔁
↦ Joaquín Fernández
73′
75′
Nuno da Costa 1–3
M. Ben Ouanes
P. Yıldırım 🔁
↦ T. Fountas
82′
87′
🔁 J. Ngoy
↦ Nuno da Costa
2–3 P. Yıldırım
91′
94′
🔁 L. Sadiku
↦ H. Hajradinović
95′
🟨 Ali Emre Yanar
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
50 M. Aydın D
2 R. Baniya D
3 Joaquín Fernández D
18 E. Elmalı D
6 B. Mendy M
5 B. Özdemir M
7 E. Višća M
14 T. Fountas M
8 E. Bardhi M
94 E. Destan F
Bench (10)
23 U. Güneş
90 P. Yıldırım
20 O. Bakić
54 T. Tepe
16 K. Şen
24 S. Denswil
74 S. Malkoçoğlu
22 O. Yılmaz
73 A. Boşluk
75 A. Bayram

Coach: A. Avcı

Kasimpasa

4-2-3-1
25 A. Yanar G
2 Cláudio Winck D
29 T. Aydın D
58 Y. Özcan D
12 M. Ben Ouanes D
6 G. Gül M
35 A. Kara M
7 M. Fall M
10 H. Hajradinović M
14 O. Çağlayan M
18 Nuno da Costa F
Bench (7)
9 J. Ngoy
26 L. Sadiku
75 E. Karaman
42 E. Yiğit
20 S. Dilli
19 S. Yavrucu
98 M. Akyüz

Coach: S. Uğurlu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,67
U
4,01
B ✓
4,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,24
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Numanoğlu · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.