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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Altay
S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Goztep
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Altay Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Altay 9. · Goztep 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Trabzonspor 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Fenerbahce 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Konyaspor 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Galatasaray 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Hatayspor 4 2 1 1 +6 7
7 Karagumruk 4 2 1 1 +4 7
8 Kayserispor 4 2 1 1 +0 7
9 Altay 4 2 0 2 +2 6
10 Yeni Malatyaspor 4 2 0 2 -4 6
11 Alanyaspor 4 2 0 2 -6 6
12 Goztep 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Kasimpasa 4 1 2 1 +0 5
14 Gaziantep 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Antalyaspor 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Sivasspor 4 0 2 2 -2 2
17 Ad. Demirspor 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Rizespor 4 0 1 3 -6 1
19 Buyuksehyr 4 0 0 4 -4 0
20 Giresunspor 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Altay Goztep
26′
S. Aydoğdu 0–1
Half-time 0–1
İ. Öztürk 🔁
↦ M. Akça
46′
46′
🔁 M. Baku
↦ Lourency
Murat Akça 🟨
50′
Marco Paixão 🔁
↦ Thaciano
63′
68′
🟨 Kahraman Demirtaş
70′
🔁 Y. Kayan
↦ D. Tijanič
70′
🔁 D. Bureković
↦ B. Emir
1–1 L. Kappel
C. Karayel
71′
E. Çelenk 🔁
↦ M. Rodríguez
78′
82′
🔁 A. Jahović
↦ C. Ndiaye
E. Björkander 🔁
↦ A. Biyogo Poko
84′
90′
🟨 Dino Arslanagić
90′
🔁 A. Çankaya
↦ S. Aydoğdu
2–1 Marco Paixão
93′
Marco Paixão 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Altay

4-2-3-1
1 M. Lis G
28 M. Akça D
90 C. Karayel D
2 M. Naderi D
8 Z. Yıldırım M
10 M. Rodríguez M
17 A. Biyogo Poko M
29 K. Thiam D
16 Thaciano M
7 L. Kappel M
11 D. Bamba F
Bench (10)
38 İ. Öztürk
19 Marco Paixão
89 E. Çelenk
4 E. Björkander
30 E. Erdoğan
5 S. Aka
6 C. Gülselam
35 C. Topaloğlu
20 K. Karataş
63 D. Kadah

Coach: M. Denizli

Goztep

4-3-3
1 İ. Eğribayat G
15 D. Arslanagić D
41 B. Emir D
4 K. Demirtaş D
2 K. Alıcı D
8 S. Aydoğdu M
7 H. Akbunar F
43 D. Tijanič M
5 O. Nwobodo M
11 Lourency F
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (10)
14 M. Baku
30 Y. Kayan
68 D. Bureković
18 A. Jahović
23 A. Çankaya
40 W. Ángel
13 A. Özçimen
22 B. Ideye
10 B. Şimşek
33 A. Nukan

Coach: N. El Maestro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
3,34
B
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.