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Süper Lig

Referee: Halil Umut Meler

Denizlispor

T U T U T

2–3

Full-time

Erzurumspor

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Erzurumspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

This season — Süper Lig · 32/33 matches

Win Ø 19%

19%

18%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

55%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

61%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Denizlispor 21. · Erzurumspor 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	33	22	5	6	+37	71
2	Fenerbahce	33	20	6	7	+26	66
3	Galatasaray	32	19	5	8	+31	62
4	Trabzonspor	33	16	10	7	+9	58
5	Alanyaspor	33	15	7	11	+16	52
6	Gaziantep	32	13	11	8	+10	50
7	Sivasspor	33	12	14	7	+7	50
8	Hatayspor	32	14	7	11	+13	49
9	Karagumruk	33	13	10	10	+9	49
10	Goztep	33	12	10	11	+5	46
11	Antalyaspor	34	9	15	10	-10	42
12	Konyaspor	33	10	11	12	-1	41
13	Rizespor	33	9	12	12	-12	39
14	Ankaragücü	33	10	7	16	-12	37
15	Kasimpasa	33	9	9	15	-13	36
16	Yeni Malatyaspor	32	7	13	12	-6	34
17	Kayserispor	33	8	10	15	-17	34
18	Buyuksehyr	32	8	9	15	-16	33
19	Genclerbirligi	33	8	7	18	-26	31
20	Erzurumspor	33	6	10	17	-24	28
21	Denizlispor	32	6	8	18	-26	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	17	12	3	2	+27	39
2	Alanyaspor	17	11	3	3	+21	36
3	Gaziantep	16	10	5	1	+16	35
4	Galatasaray	16	9	5	2	+23	32
5	Karagumruk	16	10	2	4	+14	32
6	Fenerbahce	17	9	2	6	+7	29
7	Goztep	16	8	4	4	+12	28
8	Ankaragücü	16	8	2	6	+4	26
9	Trabzonspor	16	8	2	6	+2	26
10	Hatayspor	16	7	4	5	+9	25
11	Konyaspor	17	6	7	4	+4	25
12	Rizespor	16	6	7	3	+2	25
13	Kasimpasa	17	7	4	6	-3	25
14	Antalyaspor	17	6	6	5	-2	24
15	Sivasspor	16	5	7	4	+2	22
16	Yeni Malatyaspor	16	5	6	5	+2	21
17	Buyuksehyr	16	4	6	6	-2	18
18	Denizlispor	16	4	5	7	-5	17
19	Kayserispor	16	4	5	7	-7	17
20	Genclerbirligi	17	4	5	8	-9	17
21	Erzurumspor	17	1	8	8	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	Besiktas	16	10	2	4	+10	32
3	Trabzonspor	17	8	8	1	+7	32
4	Galatasaray	16	10	0	6	+8	30
5	Sivasspor	17	7	7	3	+5	28
6	Hatayspor	16	7	3	6	+4	24
7	Goztep	17	4	6	7	-7	18
8	Antalyaspor	17	3	9	5	-8	18
9	Karagumruk	17	3	8	6	-5	17
10	Kayserispor	17	4	5	8	-10	17
11	Erzurumspor	16	5	2	9	-13	17
12	Konyaspor	16	4	4	8	-5	16
13	Alanyaspor	16	4	4	8	-5	16
14	Gaziantep	16	3	6	7	-6	15
15	Buyuksehyr	16	4	3	9	-14	15
16	Rizespor	17	3	5	9	-14	14
17	Genclerbirligi	16	4	2	10	-17	14
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	16	2	7	7	-8	13
19	Kasimpasa	16	2	5	9	-10	11
20	Ankaragücü	17	2	5	10	-16	11
21	Denizlispor	16	2	3	11	-21	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.