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NM-cupen
Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam
Aalesund
U U T U S
0–1
Full-time
Viking
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Viking
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,5
3,2
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — NM-cupen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
2,3
4,3
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+4,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 9. · Viking 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 4 4 0 0 +19 12
2 Viking 4 4 0 0 +17 12
3 Sarpsborg 08 4 4 0 0 +13 12
4 Kristiansund 4 4 0 0 +12 12
5 KFUM Oslo 4 4 0 0 +10 12
6 Stabaek 4 4 0 0 +9 12
7 Fredrikstad 4 3 1 0 +11 10
8 Lillestrom 4 3 1 0 +8 10
9 Aalesund 4 3 1 0 +5 10
10 Ham-Kam 4 3 1 0 +5 10
11 Bryne 4 3 0 1 +4 9
12 Asane 4 3 0 1 +2 9
13 Kongsvinger 4 2 1 1 +16 7
14 Molde 4 2 1 1 +10 7
15 Egersund 4 2 1 1 +5 7
16 Sogndal 3 2 1 0 +5 7
17 Mjondalen 4 2 1 1 +4 7
18 Ranheim 3 2 1 0 +3 7
19 Haugesund 3 2 0 1 +11 6
20 Bodo/Glimt 3 2 0 1 +11 6
21 Alta 3 2 0 1 +10 6
22 Tromso 3 2 0 1 +10 6
23 Brann 3 2 0 1 +7 6
24 Sandefjord 3 2 0 1 +5 6
25 Strommen 3 2 0 1 +4 6
26 Tromsdalen Uil 3 2 0 1 +3 6
27 Moss 3 2 0 1 +2 6
28 Lyn 3 2 0 1 +2 6
29 Rana 3 2 0 1 +1 6
30 Os 3 2 0 1 +0 6
31 Pors Grenland 3 2 0 1 +0 6
32 Stromsgodset 2 1 1 0 +5 4
33 Træff 2 1 1 0 +2 4
34 Grorud 3 1 1 1 +1 4
35 Levanger 2 1 0 1 +7 3
36 Eidsvold 2 1 0 1 +3 3
37 Follo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 Raufoss 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Jerv 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 Start 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Lysekloster 2 1 0 1 +1 3
42 Lørenskog 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Vidar 2 1 0 1 +1 3
44 Torvastad 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Skeid 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Bjarg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Stjørdals-Blink 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Skjervøy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Nardo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Fram 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Sotra 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Flekkerøy 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Strindheim 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Kjelsås 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 Elverum 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 Junkeren 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 Flint 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Sortland 2 1 0 1 -4 3
60 Bærum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Nordstrand 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Asker 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Brattvåg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Arendal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Valerenga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ull/Kisa 2 0 1 1 -1 1
67 hodd 2 0 1 1 -2 1
68 Ørn Horten 2 0 1 1 -2 1
69 IF Ready 2 0 1 1 -3 1
70 Gamle Oslo 2 0 1 1 -5 1
71 Odd 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Djerv 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Harstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Fløya 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Volda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Trygg/Lade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Hønefoss 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Oppsal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Melbo IL 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Kvik Trondheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Byåsen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Fana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Sverresborg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Våg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Kvik Halden 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Frigg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Brodd 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Fjøra 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 NHHI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Gjøvik-Lyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Sandnes ULF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Lillehammer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Vard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Ullern 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 Brumunddal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Eik-Tønsberg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 Åssiden IF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Notodden 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Vindbjart 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Union Carl Berner 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Rollon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Ulfstind 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Melhus 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Askøy 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 SF Grei 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Sprint-Jeløy 1 0 0 1 -4 0
110 Mosjøen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Sarpsborg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
112 Varhaug 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Bjørkelangen 1 0 0 1 -5 0
114 Skjetten 1 0 0 1 -5 0
115 Skedsmo 1 0 0 1 -5 0
116 Konnerud 1 0 0 1 -5 0
117 Teie 1 0 0 1 -5 0
118 Eiger 1 0 0 1 -6 0
119 Varegg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
120 Hana 1 0 0 1 -6 0
121 Elnesvågen 1 0 0 1 -7 0
122 Verdal 1 0 0 1 -8 0
123 Innstranden 1 0 0 1 -8 0
124 Rindal 1 0 0 1 -10 0
125 Hamna 1 0 0 1 -10 0
126 Bjørnevatn 1 0 0 1 -11 0
127 Nord 1 0 0 1 -11 0
128 Ridabu 1 0 0 1 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Viking
44′
🟨 V. Vevatne
Half-time 0–0
K. Nesso 🟨
60′
69′
🟨 S. Bjorshol
82′
P. Christiansen 0–1
A. Kjelsen 🟨
98′
98′
🟨 M. Roseth
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

26 Larsen Tor
4 Haram Simen
5 Kjelsen Alexander
3 Gudmundsson Olafur
25 Kitolano John
6 Hammer Hakon
8 Melland Henrik
7 Nesso Kristoffer
39 Lonebu Kristian
9 Ngongo Paul
19 Heiselberg Frederik
Bench (9)
66 Seehusen Janus
2 Andresen Marius
29 Boe Jorgen
28 Kolve Eivind
36 Ytterland Tellef
27 Reed Haagensen Marcus
45 Aukland Philip
11 Johannsson David
1 Grytebust Sten

Viking

13 Klaesson Kristoffer
2 Haugen Herman
25 Falchener Henrik
4 Roseth Martin
18 Bjorshol Sondre
26 Kvia-Egeskog Simen
8 Bell Joe
19 Askildsen Kristoffer
10 Tripic Zlatko
20 Christiansen Peter
27 Cappis Christian
Bench (9)
5 Heggheim Henrik
28 Mikaelsson Hilmir
17 Austbo Edvin
33 Hansen Jakob
24 Auklend Vetle
31 Fuglestad Niklas
3 Vevatne Viljar
21 Baertelsen Anders
1 Ostbo Arild

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mohammad Usman Aslam · 47 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.