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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: E Bodding
Aalesund
T T T S T
4–4
Full-time
Kongsvinger
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 44%
18%
70%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
45%
70%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
60%
Average goals
2,9
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,1
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Kongsvinger 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kongsvinger 10 7 2 1 +7 23
2 Egersund 11 6 3 2 +6 21
3 Valerenga 11 6 2 3 +6 20
4 Moss 11 6 2 3 +2 20
5 Bryne 11 6 0 5 +2 18
6 Sogndal 11 4 4 3 +6 16
7 Stabaek 10 4 4 2 +5 16
8 Raufoss 11 4 3 4 +0 15
9 Lyn 10 3 5 2 +6 14
10 Levanger 11 2 6 3 +1 12
11 Ranheim 11 2 4 5 -2 10
12 Mjondalen 10 2 4 4 -2 10
13 Start 11 2 4 5 -7 10
14 Asane 11 2 4 5 -8 10
15 Sandnes ULF 11 2 3 6 -12 9
16 Aalesund 11 2 2 7 -10 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Kongsvinger
M. Ramsland 🟨
5′
T. Grogaard 🟨
9′
1–0 Cláudio Braga
21′
2–0 H. Hammer
27′
33′
🔁 L. Gerson
↦ F. Holmé
39′
🟨 E. Nielsen
41′
L. Haren 2–1
42′
🟨 J. Grundt
3–1 S. Kilen
44′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 L. Langrekken
↦ V. Moberg
65′
E. Nielsen 3–2
66′
🔁 M. Gjerstrøm
↦ D. Lysgård
66′
🔁 J. Holtan
↦ E. Nielsen
N. Solskjær 🔁
↦ S. Kilen
72′
73′
J. Nilsson 3–3
M. Karlsbakk 🔁
↦ E. Kolve
77′
B. Kristensen 🔁
↦ I. Atanga
77′
4–3 K. Nessø
82′
86′
🔁 A. Sandstad
↦ J. Grundt
87′
L. Haren 4–4
Full-time 4–4

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 S. Grytebust
5 T. Grøgaard
25 J. Kitolano
7 K. Nessø
6 H. Hammer
11 D. Jóhannsson
28 E. Kolve
15 S. Kilen
18 M. Ramsland
19 I. Atanga
10 Cláudio Braga
Bench (7)
17 N. Solskjær
22 M. Karlsbakk
29 B. Kristensen
26 T. Larsen
33 S. Holte
35 S. Berntsen
36 J. Norvik

Coach: C. Johnsen

Kongsvinger

1 A. Strömberg
2 J. Nilsson
21 D. Lysgård
3 R. Þorkelsson
5 F. Holmé
19 E. Nielsen
8 V. Moberg
6 H. Holter
14 L. Haren
20 J. Grundt
11 N. Williams
Bench (8)
10 L. Gerson
22 L. Langrekken
17 M. Gjerstrøm
18 J. Holtan
48 A. Sandstad
12 M. Mbow
16 M. Trengereid
31 M. Sayouba

Coach: J. Wennberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.