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NM-cupen

Kjelsås

S S S T S

3–2

Full-time

Kongsvinger

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kjelsås Kongsvinger

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

4,8

Scored

1,7

3,0

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,2

This season — NM-cupen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

8,0

Scored

1,0

8,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+8,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kjelsås 56. · Kongsvinger 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Raufoss	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Alta	1	1	0	0	+11	3
3	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+10	3
4	Bryne	1	1	0	0	+10	3
5	Kongsvinger	1	1	0	0	+8	3
6	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Stromsgodset	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Brann	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
10	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+6	3
11	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+6	3
12	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
13	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	hodd	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Hønefoss	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Molde	1	1	0	0	+5	3
17	Ham-Kam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	Viking	1	1	0	0	+5	3
19	Sogndal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Træff	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Levanger	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Asane	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Mjondalen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Moss	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Ranheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Junkeren	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Bjarg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Vard	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Strommen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Strindheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Skjervøy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Frigg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Sandnes ULF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Oppsal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Odd	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Elverum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Bærum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Stabaek	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Frøya	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Råde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Lysekloster	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Aalesund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Jerv	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Lyn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Eidsvold	1	1	0	0	+2	3
48	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
49	Skeid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
50	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Kristiansund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Fløya	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Fram	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Ull/Kisa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Arendal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Kjelsås	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Egersund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	Flekkerøy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Melhus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	Pors Grenland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
61	Stord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Djerv	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Askøy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Mandalskameratene	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Torvastad	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Haugesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Brattvåg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Mjølner	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Express	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Hei	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Madla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Follo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Toten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Os	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Heming	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Årvoll	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Rana	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Union Carl Berner	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Senja	1	0	0	1	-5	0
112	Volda	1	0	0	1	-5	0
113	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
114	Eide	1	0	0	1	-5	0
115	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-5	0
116	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-5	0
117	Lyngbø	1	0	0	1	-6	0
118	Flint	1	0	0	1	-6	0
119	Brønnøysund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
120	Sortland	1	0	0	1	-6	0
121	Sverresborg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
122	Bjørkelangen	1	0	0	1	-7	0
123	Hallingdal	1	0	0	1	-7	0
124	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
125	Skreia	1	0	0	1	-8	0
126	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-10	0
127	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-10	0
128	Kirkenes	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hønefoss	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Træff	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Frigg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Oppsal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Råde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Fram	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Flekkerøy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Melhus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Stord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Askøy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Mandalskameratene	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Torvastad	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Brattvåg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Mjølner	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Express	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Hei	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Madla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Toten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Os	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Heming	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Årvoll	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Rana	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Union Carl Berner	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	Senja	1	0	0	1	-5	0
50	Volda	1	0	0	1	-5	0
51	Eide	1	0	0	1	-5	0
52	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-5	0
53	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-5	0
54	Lyngbø	1	0	0	1	-6	0
55	Flint	1	0	0	1	-6	0
56	Brønnøysund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
57	Sortland	1	0	0	1	-6	0
58	Sverresborg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
59	Bjørkelangen	1	0	0	1	-7	0
60	Hallingdal	1	0	0	1	-7	0
61	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
62	Skreia	1	0	0	1	-8	0
63	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-10	0
64	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-10	0
65	Kirkenes	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Raufoss	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Alta	1	1	0	0	+11	3
3	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+10	3
4	Bryne	1	1	0	0	+10	3
5	Kongsvinger	1	1	0	0	+8	3
6	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Stromsgodset	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Brann	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
10	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+6	3
11	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+6	3
12	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
13	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	hodd	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Molde	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Ham-Kam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
17	Viking	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	Sogndal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Levanger	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Asane	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Mjondalen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Moss	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Ranheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Junkeren	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Bjarg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Vard	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Strommen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Strindheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Skjervøy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Sandnes ULF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Odd	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Elverum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Bærum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Stabaek	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Frøya	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Lysekloster	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Aalesund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Jerv	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Skeid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Lyn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Eidsvold	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Kristiansund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Fløya	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Ull/Kisa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Arendal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Kjelsås	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Egersund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Pors Grenland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Djerv	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Haugesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Follo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.