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Super League

Referee: M Matsoukas

Asteras Tripolis

T T T S T

1–2

Full-time

Atromitos

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Atromitos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,2

This season — Super League · 23/22 matches

Win Ø 18%

13%

23%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

43%

45%

Both score Ø 42%

39%

45%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,88 xG 0,76

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 14. · Atromitos 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	23	16	5	2	+25	+2.7	53
2	Olympiakos	23	15	6	2	+29	+2.1	51
3	PAOK	22	15	5	2	+30	+1.5	50
4	Levadeiakos	23	11	8	4	+24	-1.6	41
5	Panathinaikos	21	9	7	5	+7	+0.1	34
6	OFI Crete	21	9	1	11	-5	-2.1	28
7	Aris Thessalonikis	21	6	9	6	-3	-2.5	27
8	Aris	21	6	9	6	-3	–	27
9	Volos NFC	23	8	3	12	-12	+1.6	27
10	Panetolikos	23	7	3	13	-11	-0.4	24
11	Larisa	23	5	8	10	-13	+0.5	23
12	Atromitos	22	5	6	11	-6	+0.9	21
13	Kifisia	21	4	8	9	-7	+1.6	20
14	Asteras Tripolis	23	3	8	12	-15	-0.4	17
15	Panserraikos	22	2	4	16	-40	-4.2	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	12	10	2	0	+21	+0.6	32
2	Olympiakos	11	9	1	1	+18	+0.1	28
3	AEK	11	9	1	1	+13	–	28
4	Levadeiakos	12	7	3	2	+19	-2.1	24
5	Panathinaikos	10	6	3	1	+10	+0.2	21
6	OFI Crete	11	6	0	5	+8	-0.5	18
7	Volos NFC	11	4	3	4	-4	+1.6	15
8	Aris Thessalonikis	10	2	7	1	+1	-0.9	13
9	Aris	10	2	7	1	+1	–	13
10	Larisa	12	3	4	5	-8	+0.8	13
11	Asteras Tripolis	11	2	5	4	-1	–	11
12	Kifisia	11	2	4	5	-2	+1.6	10
13	Panetolikos	12	3	0	9	-10	+0.4	9
14	Atromitos	12	1	4	7	-6	+0.9	7
15	Panserraikos	10	2	1	7	-16	-3.3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	12	7	4	1	+12	+2.7	25
2	Olympiakos	12	6	5	1	+11	+2.1	23
3	PAOK	10	5	3	2	+9	+0.9	18
4	Levadeiakos	11	4	5	2	+5	+0.5	17
5	Panetolikos	11	4	3	4	-1	-0.8	15
6	Atromitos	10	4	2	4	+0	–	14
7	Aris Thessalonikis	11	4	2	5	-4	-1.6	14
8	Aris	11	4	2	5	-4	–	14
9	Panathinaikos	11	3	4	4	-3	-0.1	13
10	Volos NFC	12	4	0	8	-8	–	12
11	Kifisia	10	2	4	4	-5	–	10
12	Larisa	11	2	4	5	-5	-0.2	10
13	OFI Crete	10	3	1	6	-13	-1.6	10
14	Asteras Tripolis	12	1	3	8	-14	-0.4	6
15	Panserraikos	12	0	3	9	-24	-0.9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.