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Super League
Referee: C Vergetis
Larisa
U S S S S
1–4
Full-time
Panetolikos
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,2
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,2
Conceded
0,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
This season — Super League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 24%
24%
24%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 39%
48%
29%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1,24 xG 0,48
69% Possession 31%
11 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Larisa 10. · Panetolikos 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 21 15 5 1 +30 50
2 AEK 21 15 4 2 +21 49
3 PAOK 19 15 2 2 +30 47
4 Levadeiakos 21 11 7 3 +25 40
5 Panathinaikos 19 8 6 5 +6 30
6 Aris Thessalonikis 19 6 7 6 -3 25
7 Aris 19 6 7 6 -3 25
8 Volos NFC 20 8 1 11 -10 25
9 OFI Crete 19 8 0 11 -6 24
10 Larisa 21 5 7 9 -10 22
11 Kifisia 19 4 7 8 -6 19
12 Panetolikos 21 5 3 13 -16 18
13 Atromitos 20 4 5 11 -7 17
14 Asteras Tripolis 21 2 8 11 -15 14
15 Panserraikos 20 2 3 15 -36 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Larisa Panetolikos
Vasilios Sourlis 🟨
-5′
2′
Y. Badji 0–1
Farley Rosa
G. Naor 🔁
↦ V. Sourlis
12′
16′
🔁 Esteban Diego
↦ C. Mavrias
23′
Esteban Diego 0–2
1–2 L. Garate
31′
Epameinondas Pantelakis 🟨
38′
45′
Farley Rosa 1–3
A. Matan
Half-time 1–3
P. Sisto 🔁
↦ E. Pantelakis
46′
46′
🔁 L. Smyrlis
↦ Farley Rosa
49′
🟨 Farley Rosa
Dylan Batubinsika 🟨
58′
S. Mourgos 🔁
↦ F. Perez
62′
G. Pasas 🔁
↦ L. Garate
62′
68′
🔁 K. Aleksic
↦ Lenny Lobato
70′
🟨 Christian Manrique
74′
L. Smyrlis 1–4
Y. Badji
J. Ngoy 🔁
↦ L. Tupta
78′
81′
🔁 A. Bregou
↦ A. Matan
81′
🔁 J. Garcia
↦ Y. Badji
Ángelo Sagal 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Larisa

5-3-2
94 A. Anagnostopoulos G
27 Y. Macon D
6 E. Pantelakis D
28 D. Batubinsika D
14 E. Ferigra D
20 D. Olafsson D
25 A. Sagal M
90 V. Sourlis M
8 F. Perez M
23 L. Garate F
29 L. Tupta F
Bench (12)
1 N. Melissas
2 K. Apostolakis
4 T. Iliadis
7 J. Ngoy
11 S. Mourgos
15 G. Naor
18 Z. Chatzistravos
19 G. Pasas
21 T. Venetikidis
26 P. Staikos
31 J. Atanasov
77 P. Sisto

Coach: Savvas Pantelidis

Panetolikos

4-4-2
99 Y. Kucherenko G
35 C. Mavrias D
2 G. Granath D
16 C. Sielis D
15 C. Manrique D
70 Lenny Lobato M
18 G. Satsias M
41 A. Bouchalakis M
19 Farley Rosa M
25 Y. Badji F
10 A. Matan F
Bench (12)
12 Z. Zivkovic
5 S. Mladen
4 U. Garcia
65 A. Apostolopoulos
28 L. Kojic
30 A. Bregou
22 Esteban Diego
77 E. Nikolaou
71 K. Michalak
7 L. Smyrlis
14 K. Aleksic
31 J. Garcia

Coach: Giannis Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U
3,31
B ✓
4,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,27
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Vergetis · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.