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Premiership

Referee: D Nicolson

Celtic

T S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Dundee

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Dundee

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 13/14 matches

Win Ø 45%

69%

21%

Points per game

2,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

54%

50%

Both score Ø 37%

31%

43%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%

17 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 0

4 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 4

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celtic 2. · Dundee 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	14	9	4	1	+18	+5.4	31
2	Celtic	13	9	2	2	+14	+3.6	29
3	Motherwell	14	5	7	2	+7	+5.1	22
4	Rangers	13	5	7	1	+6	-0.4	22
5	Hibernian	15	5	6	4	+6	+0.8	21
6	Falkirk	14	5	5	4	-2	+0.5	20
7	Aberdeen	13	5	2	6	-2	-3.4	17
8	Dundee United	13	3	6	4	-2	-1.9	15
9	Dundee	14	3	3	8	-13	-6.7	12
10	Kilmarnock	14	2	5	7	-11	-3.8	11
11	St Mirren	13	2	4	7	-10	-1.2	10
12	Livingston	14	1	5	8	-11	+1.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	7	5	2	0	+12	+2.6	17
2	Celtic	6	5	1	0	+13	+4.1	16
3	Motherwell	7	3	3	1	+5	+3.9	12
4	Falkirk	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.8	10
5	Rangers	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.8	10
6	Dundee	7	3	1	3	-1	-2.2	10
7	Hibernian	7	2	3	2	+4	+2.8	9
8	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	+1	-3.9	8
9	Dundee United	6	2	1	3	-2	-1.3	7
10	St Mirren	7	1	3	3	-4	+0.0	6
11	Kilmarnock	8	1	3	4	-5	+0.1	6
12	Livingston	6	1	1	4	-2	+2.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	7	4	2	1	+6	+2.8	14
2	Celtic	7	4	1	2	+1	-0.5	13
3	Rangers	6	3	3	0	+5	-2.2	12
4	Hibernian	8	3	3	2	+2	-2.0	12
5	Motherwell	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.2	10
6	Falkirk	7	3	1	3	-4	-1.3	10
7	Aberdeen	6	3	0	3	-3	+0.5	9
8	Dundee United	7	1	5	1	+0	-0.6	8
9	Kilmarnock	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.8	5
10	St Mirren	6	1	1	4	-6	-1.2	4
11	Livingston	8	0	4	4	-9	-0.4	4
12	Dundee	7	0	2	5	-12	-4.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.