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Puchar Polski
4–2
Full-time
Polonia Bytom
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Avia Świdnik Polonia Bytom
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
4,3
4,7
Scored
2,5
3,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,3
This season — Puchar Polski · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
5,3
Scored
3,0
5,0
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+4,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Avia Świdnik 5. · Polonia Bytom 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Gornik Zabrze 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Chojniczanka Chojnice 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Widzew Lodz 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Avia Świdnik 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 GKS Katowice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Hutnik Kraków 3 2 0 1 +3 6
10 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Slask Wroclaw 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Wisla 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Lechia Gdansk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
14 Jastrzębie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
15 Olimpia Grudziądz 3 1 1 1 +1 4
16 Świt Skolwin 3 1 1 1 +0 4
17 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
19 Cracovia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
20 Legnica 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Arka Gdynia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Pogon Szczecin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Odra Opole 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Gryf Słupsk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Puszcza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 -2 3
33 Wikielec 2 1 0 1 -2 3
34 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 2 1 0 1 -5 3
35 Nieciecza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Flota Świnoujście 2 0 1 1 -3 1
39 Legia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Stal Mielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Małapanew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Motor Lublin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Polonia Warszawa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Odra Bytom Odrzański 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Łomża 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Avia Świdnik Polonia Bytom
6′
K. Michalski 0–1
1–1 M. Zuber
A. Remenyuk
15′
22′
🟨 O. Kwiatkowski
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 K. Wojtyra
↦ O. Kwiatkowski
2–1 M. Pigiel
A. Remenyuk
49′
52′
🔁 L. Zielinski
↦ J. Calavera
W. Kalinowski 🔁
↦ D. Assuncao
54′
57′
M. Matic 2–2
D. Zbozien 🟨
60′
63′
🟨 M. Labojko
74′
🟨 M. Matic
3–2 P. Uliczny
76′
K. Orzechowski 🔁
↦ M. Pigiel
78′
D. Zawadzki 🔁
↦ S. Kaminski
78′
81′
🔁 J. Apolinarski
↦ K. Michalski
81′
🔁 K. Terlecki
↦ K. Andrzejczak
85′
🔁 G. Szymusik
↦ M. Matic
A. Maj 🔁
↦ M. Zuber
90′
4–2 P. Malecki
A. Remenyuk
90′
P. Malecki 🟨
97′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Avia Świdnik

12 A. Sobieszczyk
25 D. Zbozien
3 R. Kursa
4 K. Rozmus
15 D. Assuncao
17 S. Kaminski
24 P. Uliczny
33 M. Pigiel
8 M. Zuber
19 P. Malecki
9 A. Remenyuk
Bench (9)
1 I. Bartnik
5 R. Dobrzynski
6 K. Orzechowski
7 W. Kalinowski
10 D. Zawadzki
18 W. Marek
21 K. Zmuda
22 O. Janik
99 A. Maj

Coach: W. Szacoń

Polonia Bytom

1 A. Holewinski
77 J. Szymanski
30 O. Krzyzak
5 M. Matic
22 J. Calavera
8 M. Labojko
18 T. Gajda
10 K. Michalski
15 O. Kwiatkowski
23 J. Arak
11 K. Andrzejczak
Bench (9)
35 K. Mazur
4 M. Bakala
7 L. Zielinski
9 K. Wojtyra
14 G. Szymusik
16 P. Stefanski
21 A. Burkiewicz
27 J. Apolinarski
29 K. Terlecki

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.