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Coppa Italia

Referee: Mario Perri

Atalanta

S T T S S

4–0

Full-time

Genoa

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%

22 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 9

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Como	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Udinese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Cagliari	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Parma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Pescara	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Spezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
24	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
25	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
26	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Como	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Udinese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Cagliari	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Parma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
2	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-2	3
3	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.