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Puchar Polski

Referee: D Kos

Olimpia Grudziądz

S S S

1–3

Full-time

Jagiellonia

S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olimpia Grudziądz Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

3,0

2,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Puchar Polski · 3/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

1,3

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olimpia Grudziądz 2. · Jagiellonia 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ruch Chorzow	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Olimpia Grudziądz	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Pogon Szczecin	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Polonia Warszawa	3	3	0	0	+3	9
5	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Korona Kielce	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Puszcza	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	LKS Lodz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
11	Piast Gliwice	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	1	0	+3	4
14	Zaglebie	3	1	1	1	+2	4
15	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	Polonia Bytom	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	Podbeskidzie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
19	Widzew Lodz	3	1	1	1	+1	4
20	Lech Poznań II	3	1	1	1	+0	4
21	Unia Skierniewice	3	1	1	1	-1	4
22	Odra Opole	2	1	0	1	+4	3
23	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	Wigry Suwałki	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Wisla	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	ŁKS Łódź II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Resovia Rzeszów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Kluczbork	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	-2	3
33	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	-2	3
34	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Rakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Legnica	2	0	1	1	-1	1
41	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	2	0	1	1	-1	1
42	Avia Świdnik	2	0	1	1	-2	1
43	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
44	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Grom Nowy Staw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Grudziądz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
4	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Podbeskidzie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Korona Kielce	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Unia Skierniewice	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Wigry Suwałki	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Kluczbork	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Legnica	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Avia Świdnik	2	0	1	1	-2	1
24	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Arka Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Grom Nowy Staw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Warta Poznan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ruch Chorzow	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Puszcza	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	LKS Lodz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Polonia Warszawa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Piast Gliwice	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Zaglebie	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Lech Poznań II	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Widzew Lodz	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	ŁKS Łódź II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Wisla	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Polonia Bytom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Rakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.