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Svenska Cupen

IF Karlstad

S T S S T

0–4

Full-time

Malmo FF

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

IF Karlstad Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,7

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match IF Karlstad 15. · Malmo FF 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brommapojkarna	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Norrkoping	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Elfsborg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Halmstad	3	3	0	0	+5	9
6	Goteborg	3	2	1	0	+8	7
7	Oster	3	2	1	0	+7	7
8	Degerfors	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+11	6
10	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+9	6
11	AIK	3	2	0	1	+8	6
12	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
15	IF Karlstad	3	2	0	1	+4	6
16	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	IFK Skövde	3	2	0	1	+1	6
19	Falkenbergs FF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
20	Orebro SK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Varnamo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
22	Täby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Orgryte	3	1	1	1	-2	4
24	Karlberg	2	1	0	1	+4	3
25	Oddevold	3	1	0	2	+2	3
26	Lund	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Enköping	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Assyriska FF	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Zenith	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Haninge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Sölvesborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Öckerö	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Ostersunds FK	3	0	3	0	+0	3
40	Lödde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Syrianska FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Myresjö / Vetlanda	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Varberg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
45	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Torstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Viggbyholms IK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Korsnäs	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	-3	3
51	Räppe	2	1	0	1	-3	3
52	Sylvia	2	1	0	1	-3	3
53	Qviding FIF	2	1	0	1	-3	3
54	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	IK brage	3	1	0	2	-4	3
56	Nässjö	2	1	0	1	-5	3
57	Sundsvall	3	1	0	2	-5	3
58	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	-5	3
59	Trelleborg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
60	Friska Viljor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Högaborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Torslanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Vänersborgs FK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Centern	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Hudiksvall	2	0	1	1	-7	1
66	Rosengård	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Gute	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Gimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Ursvik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Hjulsbro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Farsta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Stenungsund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Kristianstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Karlslund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Berga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Arameiska / Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Västboås	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Dvärsätt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Jönköping Torpa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Eslov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	IFK Tidaholm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Franke	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Viken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Oster	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Täby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Enköping	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Assyriska FF	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Öckerö	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Lödde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Torstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	IFK Skövde	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Viggbyholms IK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Korsnäs	2	1	0	1	-2	3
26	Räppe	2	1	0	1	-3	3
27	Sylvia	2	1	0	1	-3	3
28	Goteborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Varnamo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
30	Vänersborgs FK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
31	Centern	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	Hudiksvall	2	0	1	1	-7	1
33	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Gimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Ursvik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Farsta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Stenungsund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Kubikenborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Karlslund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Berga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	AIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Djurgarden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Sölvesborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Syrianska FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Västboås	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Dvärsätt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Myresjö / Vetlanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Jönköping Torpa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Eslov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	IFK Tidaholm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Trelleborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Viken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Qviding FIF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
68	Nässjö	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AIK	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Brommapojkarna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Falkenbergs FF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Orebro SK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Orgryte	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+8	3
13	Oddevold	2	1	0	1	+5	3
14	Karlberg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Oster	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Kubikenborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Lund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	IFK Skövde	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Nässjö	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Sölvesborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Myresjö / Vetlanda	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Zenith	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Haninge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Syrianska FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Qviding FIF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Ostersunds FK	3	0	3	0	+0	3
40	Varberg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
41	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Trelleborg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	-3	3
44	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
45	IK brage	3	1	0	2	-4	3
46	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	-4	3
47	Friska Viljor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Högaborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Torslanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Rosengård	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gute	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Hjulsbro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Kristianstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Arameiska / Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Franke	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.