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Serie A
Referee: R Abisso
Torino
S T U T T
2–0
Full-time
Lazio
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
27%
31%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
62%
27%
Both score Ø 33%
42%
23%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,71 xG 1,05
45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 9
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 5
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 15. · Lazio 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 27 22 1 4 +43 +34.4 67
2 Milan 27 16 9 2 +23 +16.8 57
3 Napoli 27 16 5 6 +13 +8.7 53
4 Roma 26 16 2 8 +18 +10.3 50
5 Como 27 13 9 5 +24 +19.7 48
6 Juventus 26 13 7 6 +18 +22.9 46
7 Atalanta 27 12 9 6 +13 +10.9 45
8 Sassuolo 27 11 5 11 -2 -9.3 38
9 Bologna 26 10 6 10 +3 +0.3 36
10 Lazio 26 8 10 8 +1 -8.3 34
11 Parma 27 8 9 10 -12 -14.6 33
12 Udinese 26 9 5 12 -11 -7.3 32
13 Cagliari 27 7 9 11 -7 -13.5 30
14 Genoa 27 6 9 12 -7 -2.1 27
15 Torino 26 7 6 13 -22 -10.0 27
16 Fiorentina 26 5 9 12 -9 +5.2 24
17 Cremonese 27 5 9 13 -17 -18.8 24
18 Lecce 27 6 6 15 -18 -20.4 24
19 Pisa 26 1 12 13 -23 -15.3 15
20 Verona 27 2 9 16 -28 -9.5 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Lazio
1–0 G. Simeone
21′
Half-time 1–0
Gvidas Gineitis 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 F. Dele-Bashiru
↦ R. Belahyane
46′
🔁 T. Noslin
↦ P. Ratkov
2–0 D. Zapata
R. Obrador
53′
65′
🔁 N. Tavares
↦ L. Pellegrini
65′
🔁 G. Isaksen
↦ M. Cancellieri
I. Ilic 🔁
↦ G. Gineitis
68′
N. Nkounkou 🔁
↦ R. Obrador
72′
C. Casadei 🔁
↦ D. Zapata
73′
Nikola Vlašić 🟨
79′
80′
🔁 B. Dia
↦ M. Zaccagni
S. Kulenovic 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
84′
A. Tameze 🔁
↦ M. Prati
85′
Adrien Tameze 🟨
91′
Sandro Kulenović 🟨
92′
94′
🟨 Nuno Tavares
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-1-2
1 A. Paleari G
23 S. Coco D
44 A. Ismajli D
77 E. Ebosse D
20 V. Lazaro M
4 M. Prati M
66 G. Gineitis M
33 R. Obrador M
10 N. Vlasic F
18 G. Simeone F
91 D. Zapata F
Bench (14)
81 F. Israel
99 L. Siviero
8 I. Ilic
13 G. Maripan
14 F. Anjorin
16 M. Pedersen
17 S. Kulenovic
19 C. Adams
22 C. Casadei
25 N. Nkounkou
34 C. Biraghi
35 L. Marianucci
61 A. Tameze
92 A. Njie

Coach: Leonardo Colucci

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
77 A. Marusic D
13 A. Romagnoli D
25 O. Provstgaard D
3 L. Pellegrini D
21 R. Belahyane M
32 D. Cataldi M
24 K. Taylor M
22 M. Cancellieri F
20 P. Ratkov F
10 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (11)
40 E. Motta
55 A. Furlanetto
4 Patric
7 F. Dele-Bashiru
14 T. Noslin
17 N. Tavares
18 G. Isaksen
19 B. Dia
28 A. Przyborek
29 M. Lazzari
71 V. Farcomeni

Coach: Maurizio Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,81
U
2,89
B
2,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.