Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Torino
Lazio
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | +43 | +34.4 | 67 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | +23 | +16.8 | 57 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | +13 | +8.7 | 53 |
| 4 |
Roma
|
26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | +18 | +10.3 | 50 |
| 5 |
Como
|
27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | +24 | +19.7 | 48 |
| 6 |
Juventus
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +18 | +22.9 | 46 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +13 | +10.9 | 45 |
| 8 |
Sassuolo
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | -2 | -9.3 | 38 |
| 9 |
Bologna
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | +0.3 | 36 |
| 10 |
Lazio
|
26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | +1 | -8.3 | 34 |
| 11 |
Parma
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -12 | -14.6 | 33 |
| 12 |
Udinese
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -11 | -7.3 | 32 |
| 13 |
Cagliari
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -7 | -13.5 | 30 |
| 14 |
Genoa
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -7 | -2.1 | 27 |
| 15 |
Torino
|
26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -22 | -10.0 | 27 |
| 16 |
Fiorentina
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -9 | +5.2 | 24 |
| 17 |
Cremonese
|
27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -17 | -18.8 | 24 |
| 18 |
Lecce
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -18 | -20.4 | 24 |
| 19 |
Pisa
|
26 | 1 | 12 | 13 | -23 | -15.3 | 15 |
| 20 |
Verona
|
27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | -28 | -9.5 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Paleari
G
S. Coco
D
A. Ismajli
D
E. Ebosse
D
M. Prati
M
G. Gineitis
M
R. Obrador
M
N. Vlasic
F
G. Simeone
F
D. Zapata
F
Coach: Leonardo Colucci
I. Provedel
G
A. Marusic
D
A. Romagnoli
D
O. Provstgaard
D
L. Pellegrini
D
R. Belahyane
M
D. Cataldi
M
K. Taylor
M
M. Cancellieri
F
P. Ratkov
F
M. Zaccagni
F
Coach: Maurizio Sarri
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Genoa
Torino
Torino
Bologna
Fiorentina
Torino
Inter
Torino
Torino
Lecce
R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.