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Svenska Cupen
Referee: A Johansson
IF Karlstad
S T S T S
1–3
Full-time
Sirius
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

IF Karlstad Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 64%
60%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 72%
60%
83%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,6
2,5
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trollhättan 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 FBK Karlstad 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Berga 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Stockholm Internazionale 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Smedby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Falkenbergs FF 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Jonkopings Sodra 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Ariana 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +2 3
10 IF Karlstad 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Nyköping 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Trelleborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Vasteras SK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 IFK Hässleholm 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Angelholms FF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Orebro SK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Täby 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Eskilsminne 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
20 Huddinge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Kubikenborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Götaholm 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Torslanda 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Piteå 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Simrishamn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Årsunda 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Stocksund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 IFK Östersund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Tord 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Enskede 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Herrestads 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Järfälla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Gute 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 Haga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Borens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Viggbyholms IK 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Karlberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Nacka Iliria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Onsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 IFK Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Hudiksvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Sunnersta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Brålanda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Stegeborgs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Kristianopels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Torns 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Franke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Åstorp 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Tidaholms GoIF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
59 Zenith 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Lödde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Dalkurd FF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
62 Timmernabbens 1 0 0 1 -4 0
63 Haninge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
64 Jönköpings BK 1 0 0 1 -4 0
65 Landvetter IS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Styrsö 1 0 0 1 -5 0
67 Forward 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.