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DBU Pokalen
Referee: B Seferovic
Lyseng
T S
3–1
Full-time
Middelfart
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyseng Middelfart
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/5 matches
Win Ø 65%
50%
80%
Points per game
1,5
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 35%
50%
20%
Average goals
4,0
4,6
Scored
2,0
4,2
Conceded
2,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,8
This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
6,0
6,0
Scored
4,0
6,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+6,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lyseng 24. · Middelfart 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 B 93 2 2 0 0 +21 6
2 FA 2000 2 2 0 0 +12 6
3 Esbjerg 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Ishøj 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Vanløse 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Thisted FC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 AB Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 HIK 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +18 3
10 Aalborg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
11 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +8 3
12 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +7 3
13 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +6 3
14 Aarhus Fremad 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 VRI 1 1 0 0 +5 3
16 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 FC Helsingor 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Tune 1 1 0 0 +4 3
19 Kolding B 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
21 Viby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Ringsted 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Lyseng 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Dalum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Bagsværd 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 AB Tårnby 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Søften 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Sonderjyske 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Silkeborg KFUM 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Aabenraa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Naestved 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Ringkøbing 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 B 1908 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Skjold Birkerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Skive 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 Taastrup 2 1 0 1 -4 3
44 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Fjordager 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 tst Fodbold 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Vejgaard B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Gug 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Horsens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 LSF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Tåsinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Nibe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Frem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Otterup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Jetsmark 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Køge Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 Aarhus 1900 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Morud/Veflinge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
77 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
78 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
79 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
80 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
81 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -5 0
82 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
83 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
84 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
85 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
86 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -7 0
87 KRFK 1 0 0 1 -7 0
88 Egen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
89 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -8 0
90 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
91 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyseng Middelfart
1–0 M. Kruse ⚽
38′
A. Hersboll 🟨
42′
J. Abdallah 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
J. Berwald 🔁
↦ R. Hoelgaard
46′
V. Øhlenschlæger 🔁
↦ J. Søndergaard
46′
H. Brodersen 🔁
↦ M. Laursen
46′
46′
🔁 L. Thomsen
↦ M. Mlynikowski
46′
🔁 S. Møller
↦ J. Villemoes
46′
🔁 L. Thorstensen
↦ J. Linnet
46′
⚽ L. Thomsen 1–1
2–1 T. Lauritsen ⚽
49′
52′
🟨 V. Kwasniak
60′
🔁 M. Boesen
↦ P. Kristensen
A. Jensen 🔁
↦ T. Lauritsen
63′
N. Faizi Bendaoud 🔁
↦ M. Kruse
77′
A. Jensen 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 R. Kakeeto
↦ O. Hansen
N. B. Faizi 🟨
82′
3–1 V. Øhlenschlæger ⚽
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Lyseng

12 M. Frandsen
1 M. van der Raad
17 M. Kruse
4 A. Hersbøll
11 M. Laursen
13 J. Abdallah
21 J. Broberg
25 R. Hoelgaard
7 T. Lauritsen
10 J. Søndergaard
9 M. Sørensen
Bench (8)
8 J. Berwald
14 V. Øhlenschlæger
23 H. Brodersen
20 A. Jensen
22 N. Faizi Bendaoud
15 A. Emery
18 R. Harmiz
16 A. Nagel

Coach: M. Demontis

Middelfart

16 R. Jepsen-Jacob
13 M. Mlynikowski
3 O. Hansen
22 J. Christensen
19 P. Kristensen
7 J. Linnet
21 A. Stage
23 V. Kwasniak
18 M. Blåholm
8 M. Berthelsen
11 J. Villemoes
Bench (8)
12 L. Thomsen
14 S. Møller
20 L. Thorstensen
9 M. Boesen
6 R. Kakeeto
1 C. Radza
4 T. Viggers
24 D. Catovic

Coach: K. Johannsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.