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KNVB Beker

Referee: S Gözübüyük

AZ Alkmaar

S U S S U

2–0

Full-time

Ajax

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — KNVB Beker · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 35. · Ajax 36. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Noordwijk	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Barendrecht	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Sparta Nijkerk	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Rijnsburgse Boys	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	ASWH	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Eemdijk	4	3	0	1	-1	9
7	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+9	6
8	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+7	6
9	Waalwijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Winterswijk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
14	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
15	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
19	SC Genemuiden	3	2	0	1	+1	6
20	Quick '20	3	2	0	1	+0	6
21	Hercules	3	2	0	1	-2	6
22	Rijnvogels	3	2	0	1	-2	6
23	Dovo	3	2	0	1	-2	6
24	AFC Amsterdam	3	2	0	1	-3	6
25	Koninklijke HFC	3	2	0	1	-5	6
26	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+5	4
27	FC Lisse	3	1	1	1	+0	4
28	Kolping Boys	3	1	1	1	-3	4
29	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+8	3
30	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+5	3
31	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
32	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Katwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Telstar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	ADO '20	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	RKAVV	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Vvsb	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Ajax Amateurs	2	1	0	1	+0	3
54	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Achilles Veen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Hoek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	TEC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Zwaluw VFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
65	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Rijnsburgse Boys	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Noordwijk	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Waalwijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	ASWH	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	AFC Amsterdam	3	2	0	1	-3	6
10	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+8	3
11	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	ADO '20	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Winterswijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	SC Genemuiden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Dovo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
32	Hercules	2	1	0	1	-4	3
33	Eemdijk	2	1	0	1	-4	3
34	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-5	3
35	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Katwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Ajax Amateurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	RKAVV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Quick '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Kolping Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
10	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
14	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	ASWH	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	RKAVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Ajax Amateurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Capelle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-6	3
38	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
41	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Achilles Veen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	TEC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.