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AZ Alkmaar

U S S U S

3–1

Full-time

Groningen

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

22 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Noordwijk	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Eemdijk	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	ASWH	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+9	6
6	Waalwijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Winterswijk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Rijnsburgse Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
14	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	SC Genemuiden	3	2	0	1	+1	6
19	Quick '20	3	2	0	1	+0	6
20	Hercules	3	2	0	1	-2	6
21	Rijnvogels	3	2	0	1	-2	6
22	Dovo	3	2	0	1	-2	6
23	AFC Amsterdam	3	2	0	1	-3	6
24	Koninklijke HFC	3	2	0	1	-5	6
25	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+5	4
26	FC Lisse	3	1	1	1	+0	4
27	Kolping Boys	3	1	1	1	-3	4
28	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+8	3
29	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+5	3
30	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
34	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Katwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	ADO '20	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	RKAVV	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Vvsb	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Ajax Amateurs	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Achilles Veen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Hoek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	TEC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
62	Zwaluw VFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
63	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
106	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
107	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Waalwijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Noordwijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Rijnsburgse Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	ASWH	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	AFC Amsterdam	3	2	0	1	-3	6
9	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+8	3
10	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	ADO '20	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Eemdijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Winterswijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	SC Genemuiden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Dovo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
31	Hercules	2	1	0	1	-4	3
32	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-5	3
33	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Katwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Ajax Amateurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	RKAVV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Quick '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Kolping Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
10	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	ASWH	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	RKAVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Ajax Amateurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Capelle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-6	3
37	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
40	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Achilles Veen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	TEC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.