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Conference League
Referee: H Lechner
Legia
U T S T U
2–0
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 11/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
45%
44%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
73%
44%
Both score Ø 69%
82%
56%
Average goals
3,8
3,1
Scored
2,1
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,11 xG 0,14
41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 AZ Alkmaar – Legia 1–0

Match report

Legia AZ Alkmaar
1–0 Yuri Ribeiro ⚽
Josué
34′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟥 Bruno Martins Indi
60′
🔁 R. Bazoer
↦ Tiago Dantas
60′
🔁 J. Odgaard
↦ M. van Brederode
67′
🔁 I. Sadiq
↦ D. Kasius
B. Kramer 🔁
↦ Marc Gual
68′
Gil Dias 🔁
↦ P. Wszołek
68′
A. Jędrzejczyk 🔁
↦ R. Pankov
74′
80′
🔁 J. Addai
↦ Y. Sugawara
80′
🔁 D. Mihailović
↦ D. de Wit
2–0 B. Kramer ⚽
Josué
81′
M. Rosołek 🔁
↦ E. Muçi
87′
B. Kapustka 🔁
↦ Josué
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Legia

3-4-3
1 K. Tobiasz G
12 R. Pankov D
8 R. Augustyniak D
3 S. Kapuadi D
13 P. Wszołek M
99 B. Slisz M
22 J. Elitim M
5 Yuri Ribeiro M
27 Josué F
28 Marc Gual F
20 E. Muçi F
Bench (12)
9 B. Kramer
17 Gil Dias
55 A. Jędrzejczyk
39 M. Rosołek
67 B. Kapustka
26 F. Rejczyk
33 P. Kun
4 M. Burch
21 J. Çelhaka
32 M. Baku
30 D. Hładun
86 I. Strzałek

Coach: K. Runjaić

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
20 R. Owusu-Oduro G
2 Y. Sugawara D
5 Alexandre Penetra D
4 B. Martins Indi D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
6 Tiago Dantas M
8 J. Clasie M
30 D. Kasius M
10 D. de Wit M
19 M. van Brederode M
9 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (12)
25 R. Bazoer
7 J. Odgaard
11 I. Sadiq
59 J. Addai
14 D. Mihailović
22 M. Dekker
28 K. Goudmijn
21 E. Poku
33 W. Goes
12 H. Verhulst
29 M. Meerdink
15 R. van Bommel

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.