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Serie A
Referee: F Maresca
Udinese
T T T T T
0–0
Full-time
Bologna
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 41%
33%
48%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,45 xG 1,64
35% Possession 65%
13 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 12. · Bologna 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 34 22 8 4 +29 +20.0 74
2 Inter 34 21 8 5 +39 +30.6 71
3 Atalanta 34 19 8 7 +36 +24.5 65
4 Juventus 34 16 14 4 +20 +13.9 62
5 Roma 34 17 9 8 +17 +12.5 60
6 Bologna 33 16 12 5 +15 +11.9 60
7 Fiorentina 34 17 8 9 +19 +5.6 59
8 Lazio 33 17 8 8 +12 +13.8 59
9 Milan 34 15 9 10 +15 +19.4 54
10 Torino 34 10 13 11 -1 -15.1 43
11 Como 34 11 9 14 -4 +2.8 42
12 Udinese 33 11 7 15 -12 -9.0 40
13 Genoa 34 9 12 13 -12 -8.1 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 -30 -16.9 32
15 Parma 33 6 13 14 -13 -15.3 31
16 Cagliari 33 7 9 17 -16 -12.2 30
17 Lecce 34 6 9 19 -32 -22.5 27
18 Venezia 34 4 13 17 -21 -17.5 25
19 Empoli 34 4 13 17 -27 -16.8 25
20 Monza 34 2 9 23 -34 -21.6 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Bologna
Rui Modesto 🔁
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
36′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Pobega
↦ M. Aebischer
50′
🟨 Sam Beukema
62′
🔁 G. Fabbian
↦ J. Odgaard
63′
🔁 N. Cambiaghi
↦ B. Domínguez
Martín Payero 🟨
66′
Jesper Karlström 🟨
70′
L. Giannetti 🔁
↦ C. Kabasele
81′
Iker Bravo 🔁
↦ K. Davis
81′
83′
🔁 N. Moro
↦ R. Freuler
83′
🔁 S. Castro
↦ T. Dallinga
85′
🟨 Jhon Lucumí
Oier Zarraga 🔁
↦ M. Payero
87′
S. Lovrić 🔁
↦ A. Atta
87′
Kingsley Ehizibue 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Udinese

5-4-1
40 M. Okoye G
19 K. Ehizibue D
31 T. Kristensen D
27 C. Kabasele D
28 O. Solet D
11 H. Kamara D
14 A. Atta M
25 J. Karlström M
5 M. Payero M
32 J. Ekkelenkamp M
9 K. Davis F
Bench (12)
77 Rui Modesto
30 L. Giannetti
21 Iker Bravo
6 Oier Zarraga
8 S. Lovrić
7 A. Sánchez
93 D. Padelli
99 D. Pizarro
16 M. Palma
33 J. Zemura
20 S. Pafundi
90 R. Sava

Coach: K. Runjaić

Bologna

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Skorupski G
14 D. Calabria D
31 S. Beukema D
26 J. Lucumí D
33 Juan Miranda D
20 M. Aebischer M
8 R. Freuler M
7 R. Orsolini M
21 J. Odgaard M
30 B. Domínguez M
24 T. Dallinga F
Bench (12)
18 T. Pobega
80 G. Fabbian
28 N. Cambiaghi
6 N. Moro
9 S. Castro
22 C. Lykogiannis
29 L. De Silvestri
23 N. Bagnolini
19 L. Ferguson
17 O. El Azzouzi
5 M. Erlić
34 F. Ravaglia

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,47
U ✓
3,44
B
1,86
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.