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Copa del Rey
Referee: Javier Iglesias
0–2
Full-time
Valencia
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

UD Logroñés Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +12 3
2 Betis 1 1 0 0 +11 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Granada 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
15 Deportivo Murcia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Antequera 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Andratx 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Alcorcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Lugo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Valle Egüés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Arandina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Tudelano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Terrassa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
48 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
49 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -4 3
50 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
51 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
52 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
53 Zamora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Cartagena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Rubí 2 0 1 1 -1 1
67 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Arosa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

UD Logroñés Valencia
32′
🟨 Roman Yaremchuk
Ander Vitoria 🟨
37′
39′
🟨 Hugo González
Half-time 0–1
46′
Pablo Gozálbez 0–1
46′
🔁 Fran Pérez
↦ Sergi Canós
E. Facchin 🔁
↦ Aitor Seguín
58′
Jony González 🔁
↦ Ander Vitoria
58′
58′
🔁 Javi Guerra
↦ S. Amallah
58′
🔁 José Gayà
↦ Cristhian Mosquera
Urtzi Urcelay 🔁
↦ Imanol Sarriegi
69′
78′
🔁 Diego López
↦ Hugo González
79′
🟨 Pablo Gozálbez
Lander Yurrebaso 🔁
↦ Adrià Capdevila
79′
Asier Goti 🔁
↦ Unai García
79′
87′
🔁 Thierry Correia
↦ R. Yaremchuk
88′
Diego López 0–2
Pablo Gozálbez
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

UD Logroñés

4-4-1-1
13 Álex Daza G
21 Beñat Almandoz D
4 Titi Fernández D
3 Javier Lizárraga D
16 Iñaki Sáenz D
17 Unai García M
5 Imanol Sarriegi M
15 Javi Cobo M
14 Aitor Seguín M
22 Adrià Capdevila F
18 Ander Vitoria F
Bench (11)
24 E. Facchin
9 Jony González
8 Urtzi Urcelay
19 Lander Yurrebaso
7 Asier Goti
1 Kike Royo
6 Andoni Ugarte
20 Miki Codina
10 Álex Arias
2 Yasin Iribarren
11 Jon Madrazo

Coach: Diego Martínez

Valencia

4-3-3
1 Jaume Doménech G
20 D. Foulquier D
29 César Tárrega D
3 Cristhian Mosquera D
34 Yarek Gasiorowski D
27 Pablo Gozálbez M
6 Hugo Guillamón M
19 S. Amallah M
30 Hugo González F
17 R. Yaremchuk F
7 Sergi Canós F
Bench (10)
23 Fran Pérez
8 Javi Guerra
14 José Gayà
16 Diego López
12 Thierry Correia
31 Rubo Iranzo
39 Marco Camus
26 Javi Navarro
38 Joselu Pérez
13 Cristian Rivero

Coach: Rubén Baraja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Iglesias · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.