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Championship
Referee: D Webb
Watford
S T S T T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 52%
46%
57%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
67%
22%
Both score Ø 45%
63%
26%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,47 xG 1,15
54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Watford 8. · Sheffield United 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leeds 25 15 7 3 +29 +28.0 52
2 Burnley 26 14 10 2 +22 +6.8 52
3 Sunderland 23 13 7 3 +17 +4.8 46
4 Sheffield United 23 13 6 4 +16 +10.2 45
5 Middlesbrough 25 11 7 7 +11 +13.4 40
6 West Brom 26 9 13 4 +11 +4.4 40
7 Blackburn 25 11 6 8 +5 +0.6 39
8 Watford 24 11 4 9 +0 -4.1 37
9 Sheffield Weds 25 10 6 9 -2 -5.1 36
10 Bristol City 24 8 10 6 +3 +4.3 34
11 Swansea 26 9 7 10 +0 +1.6 34
12 Norwich 25 8 9 8 +5 +6.5 33
13 Millwall 24 7 8 9 +1 +6.5 29
14 QPR 25 6 11 8 -6 -6.7 29
15 Preston 25 6 11 8 -6 -2.5 29
16 Coventry 24 7 7 10 -2 +15.1 28
17 Derby 25 7 6 12 -3 -3.1 27
18 Stoke 26 6 9 11 -8 -12.6 27
19 Oxford 24 7 6 11 -12 -12.9 27
20 Luton 25 7 4 14 -16 -3.6 25
21 Portsmouth 23 5 8 10 -10 -11.7 23
22 Hull 25 5 7 13 -11 -4.0 22
23 Cardiff 24 5 7 12 -15 -11.1 22
24 Plymouth 25 4 8 13 -29 -24.7 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Watford Sheffield United
13′
G. Hamer 0–1
C. O'Hare
1–1 J. Ngakia
R. Andrews
20′
Imrân Louza 🟨
42′
42′
🟨 Tom Davies
Half-time 1–1
Matthew Pollock 🟨
48′
53′
A. Brooks 1–2
57′
🔁 R. Brewster
↦ R. Oné
61′
🔁 S. McCallum
↦ G. Hamer
V. Bayo 🔁
↦ A. Ogbonna
63′
Y. Larouci 🔁
↦ J. Ngakia
71′
77′
🔁 R. Norrington-Davies
↦ A. Brooks
M. Sissoko 🔁
↦ E. Kayembe
82′
F. Ebosele 🔁
↦ R. Andrews
82′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Watford

5-3-2
1 D. Bachmann G
45 R. Andrews D
6 M. Pollock D
21 A. Ogbonna D
3 F. Sierralta D
2 J. Ngakia D
39 E. Kayembe M
8 G. Chakvetadze M
10 I. Louza M
34 K. Baah F
11 R. Vata F
Bench (9)
19 V. Bayo
37 Y. Larouci
17 M. Sissoko
36 F. Ebosele
5 R. Porteous
7 T. Ince
20 M. Doumbia
23 J. Bond
22 J. Morris

Coach: T. Cleverley

Sheffield United

4-2-3-1
1 M. Cooper G
2 A. Gilchrist D
15 A. Ahmedhodžić D
19 J. Robinson D
14 H. Burrows D
22 T. Davies M
42 S. Peck M
35 A. Brooks M
10 C. O'Hare M
8 G. Hamer M
39 R. Oné F
Bench (9)
7 R. Brewster
3 S. McCallum
33 R. Norrington-Davies
43 H. Boyes
26 J. Baptiste
31 L. Faxon
41 B. Blacker
34 L. Marsh
17 A. Davies

Coach: C. Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,83
U
3,33
B ✓
2,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.