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Copa del Rey

Referee: Javier Alberola

Elche

S S T T U

0–2

Full-time

Girona

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Girona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

4,7

Scored

1,7

3,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

2,5

3,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

22 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 5

4 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 4

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elche 11. · Girona 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Betis	2	2	0	0	+12	6
3	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+11	6
4	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Celta	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Girona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Unionistas de Salamanca	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Espanol	3	2	0	1	+3	6
15	Burgos	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Ferrol	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
19	Castellon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Tenerife	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Arandina	2	2	0	0	+2	6
22	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
23	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
24	Lugo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
25	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+4	4
26	Melilla	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Malaga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Alcorcon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Buñol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Amorebieta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Eldense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Antequera	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Andratx	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Villanovense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Tudelano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Terrassa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Arenteiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Atlético Astorga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Cayón	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Valle Egüés	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Boiro	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-4	3
58	Atlético Lugones	2	1	0	1	-5	3
59	Deportivo Murcia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
60	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
61	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
62	Cartagena	2	0	2	0	+0	2
63	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
71	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
72	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
73	Linares Deportivo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
74	Orihuela	2	0	1	1	-3	1
75	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
121	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
122	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arandina	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Malaga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lugo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Andratx	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Villanovense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Tudelano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Terrassa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Atlético Astorga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Valle Egüés	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
20	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
21	Melilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
28	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Orihuela	2	0	1	1	-3	1
30	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Sestao River	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Buñol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Linares Deportivo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Arenteiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Antequera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Cayón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Boiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
73	Chiclana	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-6	0
75	Deportivo Murcia	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Betis	2	2	0	0	+12	6
3	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+11	6
4	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Celta	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Girona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Burgos	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Tenerife	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+4	4
19	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Antequera	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Amorebieta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Eldense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Cartagena	2	0	2	0	+0	2
48	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
54	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.