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Coupe de France
Referee: T Léonard
Lille
S U S U T
12–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Golden Lion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rodez 3 3 0 0 +16 9
2 Racing Colombes 92 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Feignies-Aulnoye 3 3 0 0 +3 9
4 Trélissac 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Valenciennes 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Romorantin 2 2 0 0 +7 6
7 Olympique d'Alès 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 Bergerac 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 Caen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 Laval 2 2 0 0 +6 6
11 Chambly Thelle FC 3 2 0 1 +5 6
12 Chateauroux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 Quevilly Rouen 3 2 0 1 +5 6
14 Orleans 2 2 0 0 +5 6
15 Sochaux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
16 Thionville Lusitanos 2 2 0 0 +5 6
17 Le Puy Foot 2 2 0 0 +5 6
18 Lyon Duchere 2 2 0 0 +4 6
19 Saint-Priest 2 2 0 0 +4 6
20 Feurs 2 2 0 0 +4 6
21 Dinan Léhon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
22 Amiens 2 2 0 0 +4 6
23 Sarreguemines 3 2 0 1 +3 6
24 Libourne 2 2 0 0 +3 6
25 Dieppe 2 2 0 0 +3 6
26 Nimes 2 2 0 0 +3 6
27 Angers 2 2 0 0 +3 6
28 Entente S St Gratien 2 2 0 0 +3 6
29 Pau FC 3 2 0 1 +2 6
30 Les Herbiers 2 2 0 0 +2 6
31 Rouen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
32 Avoine OCC 2 1 1 0 +3 4
33 Auxerre 2 1 1 0 +3 4
34 Revel 2 1 1 0 +3 4
35 Paris FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
36 Louhans-Cuiseaux 2 1 1 0 +1 4
37 Cannes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
38 Grenoble 2 1 1 0 +1 4
39 Guingamp 2 1 1 0 +1 4
40 Union Cosnoise 2 1 1 0 +1 4
41 Epinal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Mulhouse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 Paimpol 2 1 1 0 +1 4
44 Bordeaux 2 1 1 0 +1 4
45 Chambéry 2 1 1 0 +1 4
46 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +1 4
47 Blagnac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
48 Fleury 91 2 1 1 0 +1 4
49 Sarre Union 2 1 1 0 +1 4
50 Pontarlier 2 1 1 0 +1 4
51 Dijon 2 1 0 1 +4 3
52 Vitré 2 1 0 1 +4 3
53 Nantes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
54 Métropole Troyenne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
55 Ajaccio 2 1 0 1 +2 3
56 Villers Houlgate CF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
57 St Etienne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
58 Martigues 2 1 0 1 +1 3
59 Golden Lion 1 1 0 0 +1 3
60 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 2 1 0 1 +1 3
61 Pontivy GSI 2 1 0 1 +1 3
62 Furiani-Agliani 2 1 0 1 +1 3
63 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 2 1 0 1 +0 3
64 Castanet 2 1 0 1 +0 3
65 Ergué-Gaberic 2 1 0 1 +0 3
66 Thaon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
67 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
68 Plessis Robinson 92 2 1 0 1 +0 3
69 AG Caennaise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
70 Angoulême 2 1 0 1 +0 3
71 Panazol 2 1 0 1 -1 3
72 Villenave 2 1 0 1 -1 3
73 Biesheim 2 1 0 1 -1 3
74 Hauts Lyonnais 2 1 0 1 -1 3
75 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 2 1 0 1 -1 3
76 RC Calais 2 1 0 1 -2 3
77 Saint-Meziery 2 1 0 1 -2 3
78 Coulaines 2 1 0 1 -3 3
79 JS Douvres 2 1 0 1 -3 3
80 Stade Mayennais 2 1 0 1 -8 3
81 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
82 Saint-Omer 2 0 2 0 +0 2
83 Fabrègues 3 0 2 1 -3 2
84 Challans 3 0 2 1 -4 2
85 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Squadra Valincu ARR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Nœux-les-Mines 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Étoile Maritime 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Stade Plabennec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Moulien 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Forbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Stade Briochin 2 0 1 1 -1 1
104 Thonon Évian 2 0 1 1 -1 1
105 Saint-Denis 2 0 1 1 -2 1
106 Domerat 2 0 1 1 -3 1
107 Chaponnay-Marennes 2 0 1 1 -3 1
108 Blériot-Plage 2 0 1 1 -3 1
109 Geispolsheim 2 0 1 1 -4 1
110 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
111 Dives-Cabourg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
112 Schweighouse s/Moder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Mâcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Roche Saint-Genest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Stade Pontivy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Longueau 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Flers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 US Laon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Choisy au Bac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Volvic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Vierzon FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Colmar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Torcy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Isle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Morlaas Est-Bearn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 Aunis Avenir 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 Jarville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 TA Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Roannais Foot 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Villerupt Thil 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Plougastel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Noisy-le-Sec 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Le Poiré sur Vie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 Seyssins 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Saint-Michel 91 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Camon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Le Geldar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Le Quesnoy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Toulouse Métropole 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
171 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
172 St-Aubin Guérande 1 0 0 1 -3 0
173 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
174 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
175 Montdidier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
176 Montlouis 1 0 0 1 -4 0
177 Auch 1 0 0 1 -4 0
178 FC Equeurdreville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
179 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
180 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
181 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0
182 Châteaugiron 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Golden Lion
1–0 Y. Yazıcı
E. Zhegrova
11′
2–0 J. David
E. Zhegrova
25′
3–0 E. Zhegrova
J. David
33′
4–0 J. David
Y. Yazıcı
36′
5–0 E. Zhegrova
J. David
41′
6–0 E. Zhegrova
A. Gomes
42′
7–0 Y. Yazıcı
J. David
45′
Half-time 7–0
50′
🔁 H. Lamartinière
↦ N. Grelet
8–0 Tiago Santos
H. Haraldsson
57′
9–0 H. Haraldsson
64′
65′
🔁 K. Phaëton
↦ J. Noël
A. Zedadka 🔁
↦ Tiago Santos
68′
I. Miramón 🔁
↦ A. Gomes
68′
A. Bouaddi 🔁
↦ B. André
69′
10–0 J. David
H. Haraldsson
75′
76′
🔁 R. Barthéléry
↦ W. Charloton
76′
🔁 S. Bourguignon
↦ E. Salines
76′
🔁 K. Faucher
↦ T. Catherine
11–0 H. Haraldsson
Y. Yazıcı
78′
A. Messoussa 🔁
↦ H. Haraldsson
82′
A. Malouda 🔁
↦ Y. Yazıcı
82′
12–0 A. Messoussa
Ismaily
89′
Full-time 12–0

Line-ups

Lille

1 L. Chevalier
3 Ismaily
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro
5 L. Yoro
2 Tiago Santos
6 B. André
10 Y. Yazıcı
8 A. Gomes
11 E. Zhegrova
7 H. Haraldsson
9 J. David
Bench (9)
13 A. Zedadka
20 I. Miramón
12 A. Bouaddi
18 A. Messoussa
19 A. Malouda
17 I. Ferrah
16 V. Mannone
15 G. Gudmundsson
14 S. Umtiti

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Golden Lion

1 G. Meslien
11 T. Catherine
6 M. Bellance
4 D. Singama
2 J. Noël
10 K. Gracien
8 N. Grelet
3 E. Salines
5 W. Charloton
9 K. Parsemain
7 A. Lamasine
Bench (9)
12 H. Lamartinière
15 K. Phaëton
14 R. Barthéléry
18 S. Bourguignon
19 K. Faucher
20 A. Giboyau
13 G. Grambert
16 A. Rose
17 J. Boriel

Coach: J. Go

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.