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Coupe de France
Referee: J Stinat
Avoine OCC
S S T U S
0–4
Full-time
Strasbourg
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Avoine OCC Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 55%
60%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 80%
60%
100%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

28% Possession 72%
9 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rodez 3 3 0 0 +16 9
2 Romorantin 3 3 0 0 +11 9
3 Orleans 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Le Puy Foot 3 3 0 0 +6 9
5 Racing Colombes 92 3 3 0 0 +4 9
6 Feignies-Aulnoye 3 3 0 0 +3 9
7 Trélissac 3 2 1 0 +5 7
8 Valenciennes 3 2 1 0 +4 7
9 Paris FC 3 2 1 0 +3 7
10 Bergerac 2 2 0 0 +6 6
11 Caen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
12 Laval 2 2 0 0 +6 6
13 Olympique d'Alès 3 2 0 1 +5 6
14 Chambly Thelle FC 3 2 0 1 +5 6
15 Chateauroux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
16 Quevilly Rouen 3 2 0 1 +5 6
17 Sochaux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
18 Thionville Lusitanos 2 2 0 0 +5 6
19 Saint-Priest 2 2 0 0 +4 6
20 Feurs 2 2 0 0 +4 6
21 Dinan Léhon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
22 Amiens 2 2 0 0 +4 6
23 Lyon Duchere 3 2 0 1 +3 6
24 Sarreguemines 3 2 0 1 +3 6
25 Libourne 2 2 0 0 +3 6
26 Dieppe 2 2 0 0 +3 6
27 Entente S St Gratien 2 2 0 0 +3 6
28 Pau FC 3 2 0 1 +2 6
29 Nimes 3 2 0 1 +2 6
30 Angers 3 2 0 1 +2 6
31 Les Herbiers 2 2 0 0 +2 6
32 Rouen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
33 Avoine OCC 2 1 1 0 +3 4
34 Auxerre 2 1 1 0 +3 4
35 Revel 2 1 1 0 +3 4
36 Louhans-Cuiseaux 2 1 1 0 +1 4
37 Cannes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
38 Grenoble 2 1 1 0 +1 4
39 Guingamp 2 1 1 0 +1 4
40 Union Cosnoise 2 1 1 0 +1 4
41 Epinal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Mulhouse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 Paimpol 2 1 1 0 +1 4
44 Bordeaux 2 1 1 0 +1 4
45 Chambéry 2 1 1 0 +1 4
46 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +1 4
47 Blagnac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
48 Fleury 91 2 1 1 0 +1 4
49 Sarre Union 2 1 1 0 +1 4
50 Pontarlier 2 1 1 0 +1 4
51 Lille 1 1 0 0 +12 3
52 Dijon 2 1 0 1 +4 3
53 Vitré 2 1 0 1 +4 3
54 Nantes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
55 Métropole Troyenne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
56 Ajaccio 2 1 0 1 +2 3
57 Villers Houlgate CF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
58 St Etienne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
59 Martigues 2 1 0 1 +1 3
60 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 2 1 0 1 +1 3
61 Pontivy GSI 2 1 0 1 +1 3
62 Furiani-Agliani 2 1 0 1 +1 3
63 Brest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
64 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 2 1 0 1 +0 3
65 Castanet 2 1 0 1 +0 3
66 Ergué-Gaberic 2 1 0 1 +0 3
67 Thaon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
68 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
69 Plessis Robinson 92 2 1 0 1 +0 3
70 AG Caennaise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
71 Angoulême 2 1 0 1 +0 3
72 Panazol 2 1 0 1 -1 3
73 Villenave 2 1 0 1 -1 3
74 Biesheim 2 1 0 1 -1 3
75 Hauts Lyonnais 2 1 0 1 -1 3
76 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 2 1 0 1 -1 3
77 RC Calais 2 1 0 1 -2 3
78 Saint-Meziery 2 1 0 1 -2 3
79 Coulaines 2 1 0 1 -3 3
80 JS Douvres 2 1 0 1 -3 3
81 Stade Mayennais 2 1 0 1 -8 3
82 Golden Lion 2 1 0 1 -11 3
83 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
84 Saint-Omer 2 0 2 0 +0 2
85 Fabrègues 3 0 2 1 -3 2
86 Challans 3 0 2 1 -4 2
87 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Squadra Valincu ARR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Nœux-les-Mines 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Étoile Maritime 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Stade Plabennec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Forbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Stade Briochin 2 0 1 1 -1 1
105 Thonon Évian 2 0 1 1 -1 1
106 Saint-Denis 2 0 1 1 -2 1
107 Domerat 2 0 1 1 -3 1
108 Chaponnay-Marennes 2 0 1 1 -3 1
109 Blériot-Plage 2 0 1 1 -3 1
110 Moulien 2 0 1 1 -4 1
111 Geispolsheim 2 0 1 1 -4 1
112 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Dives-Cabourg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Schweighouse s/Moder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Mâcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Roche Saint-Genest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Stade Pontivy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Longueau 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Flers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 US Laon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Choisy au Bac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Volvic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Vierzon FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Colmar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Torcy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 Isle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 Morlaas Est-Bearn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
149 Aunis Avenir 1 0 0 1 -1 0
150 Jarville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 TA Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Roannais Foot 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Villerupt Thil 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Plougastel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 Noisy-le-Sec 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Le Poiré sur Vie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Seyssins 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Saint-Michel 91 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Camon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Le Geldar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Le Quesnoy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Toulouse Métropole 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
171 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
172 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
173 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
174 St-Aubin Guérande 1 0 0 1 -3 0
175 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
176 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
177 Montdidier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
178 Montlouis 1 0 0 1 -4 0
179 Auch 1 0 0 1 -4 0
180 FC Equeurdreville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
181 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
182 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
183 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0
184 Châteaugiron 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.