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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Ath Bilbao
S S S U S
0–0
Full-time
Osasuna
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 47%
47%
47%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
53%
33%
Both score Ø 40%
33%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
14 Corners 1
6 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 7. · Osasuna 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 16 13 2 1 +29 41
2 Real Madrid 16 12 2 2 +20 38
3 Sociedad 16 10 2 4 +6 32
4 Betis 16 8 4 4 +6 28
5 Ath Madrid 16 8 3 5 +8 27
6 Villarreal 16 8 3 5 +7 27
7 Ath Bilbao 15 7 4 4 +10 25
8 Vallecano 16 6 5 5 +3 23
9 Osasuna 15 7 2 6 +0 23
10 Mallorca 16 6 4 6 -1 22
11 Valencia 16 5 4 7 +5 19
12 Girona 16 4 6 6 -2 18
13 Getafe 16 4 5 7 -7 17
14 Almeria 16 5 2 9 -8 17
15 Valladolid 16 5 2 9 -11 17
16 Celta 16 4 4 8 -11 16
17 Sevilla 16 3 6 7 -8 15
18 Cadiz 16 3 6 7 -16 15
19 Espanol 16 2 8 6 -6 14
20 Elche 16 0 4 12 -24 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Osasuna
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 Rubén García
↦ A. Ezzalzouli
Muniain 🔁
↦ Gorka Guruzeta
63′
Álex Berenguer 🔁
↦ Oihan Sancet
63′
65′
🟨 Ante Budimir
70′
🔁 Kike García
↦ A. Budimir
70′
🔁 Aimar Oroz
↦ D. Brašanac
Raúl García 🔁
↦ I. Williams
78′
Asier Villalibre 🔁
↦ Oier Zarraga
85′
87′
🔁 Pablo Ibáñez
↦ Moncayola
87′
🔁 Manu Sánchez
↦ Moi Gómez
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
18 De Marcos D
3 Dani Vivian D
5 Yeray D
17 Yuri D
6 Mikel Vesga M
19 Oier Zarraga M
9 I. Williams M
8 Oihan Sancet M
11 Nico Williams M
12 Gorka Guruzeta F
Bench (12)
10 Muniain
7 Álex Berenguer
22 Raúl García
20 Asier Villalibre
14 Dani García
13 Julen Agirrezabala
15 Lekue
23 Ander Herrera
21 Capa
24 Balenziaga
31 Aitor Paredes
16 Unai Vencedor

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Osasuna

4-3-3
25 Aitor Fernández G
35 Diego Moreno D
23 Aridane D
5 David García D
3 Juan Cruz D
8 D. Brašanac M
6 Lucas Torró M
16 Moi Gómez M
7 Moncayola F
17 A. Budimir F
12 A. Ezzalzouli F
Bench (9)
14 Rubén García
18 Kike García
22 Aimar Oroz
19 Pablo Ibáñez
20 Manu Sánchez
13 Juan Pérez
1 Sergio Herrera
9 E. Ávila
11 Kike Barja

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
U ✓
3,69
B
5,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.