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Premier League

Referee: R Jones

Crystal Palace

T S T T T

1–1

Full-time

Man United

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Man United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,5

2,5

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+2,2

This season — Premier League · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

50%

61%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,53 xG 2,08

39% Possession 61%

10 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 3

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crystal Palace 12. · Man United 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	18	15	2	1	+28	47
2	Man City	18	12	3	3	+28	39
3	Newcastle	19	10	8	1	+22	38
4	Man United	18	12	2	4	+8	38
5	Tottenham	19	10	3	6	+10	33
6	Fulham	20	9	4	7	+3	31
7	Brighton	18	9	3	6	+10	30
8	Brentford	19	7	8	4	+4	29
9	Liverpool	18	8	4	6	+9	28
10	Chelsea	19	8	4	7	+1	28
11	Aston Villa	19	7	4	8	-5	25
12	Crystal Palace	18	6	4	8	-9	22
13	Nott'm Forest	19	5	5	9	-19	20
14	Leicester	19	5	2	12	-7	17
15	Leeds	18	4	5	9	-7	17
16	Wolves	19	4	5	10	-15	17
17	Bournemouth	19	4	4	11	-23	16
18	West Ham	19	4	3	12	-10	15
19	Everton	19	3	6	10	-11	15
20	Southampton	19	4	3	12	-17	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	9	7	1	1	+21	22
2	Arsenal	8	7	1	0	+14	22
3	Newcastle	10	6	4	0	+13	22
4	Man United	9	7	1	1	+12	22
5	Liverpool	9	6	2	1	+14	20
6	Brentford	10	5	4	1	+10	19
7	Tottenham	10	6	0	4	+6	18
8	Fulham	10	5	3	2	+3	18
9	Chelsea	9	5	2	2	+6	17
10	Aston Villa	10	5	2	3	+4	17
11	Nott'm Forest	10	4	3	3	+1	15
12	Brighton	9	4	2	3	+6	14
13	Crystal Palace	9	4	1	4	-5	13
14	Leeds	9	3	3	3	+1	12
15	Bournemouth	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Wolves	10	3	2	5	-8	11
17	West Ham	9	3	1	5	-3	10
18	Leicester	9	2	2	5	-1	8
19	Everton	10	2	2	6	-5	8
20	Southampton	9	1	3	5	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	10	8	1	1	+14	25
2	Man City	9	5	2	2	+7	17
3	Newcastle	9	4	4	1	+9	16
4	Brighton	9	5	1	3	+4	16
5	Man United	9	5	1	3	-4	16
6	Tottenham	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Fulham	10	4	1	5	+0	13
8	Chelsea	10	3	2	5	-5	11
9	Brentford	9	2	4	3	-6	10
10	Crystal Palace	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Leicester	10	3	0	7	-6	9
12	Southampton	10	3	0	7	-10	9
13	Liverpool	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Aston Villa	9	2	2	5	-9	8
15	Everton	9	1	4	4	-6	7
16	Wolves	9	1	3	5	-7	6
17	West Ham	10	1	2	7	-7	5
18	Leeds	9	1	2	6	-8	5
19	Nott'm Forest	9	1	2	6	-20	5
20	Bournemouth	10	1	2	7	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.