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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Kos

Stal Mielec

T U T T T

2–0

Full-time

Piast Gliwice

T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Piast Gliwice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

0,3

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,36 xG 0,35

43% Possession 57%

5 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 5

5 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stal Mielec 18. · Piast Gliwice 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	5	3	1	1	+5	+2.6	10
2	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	1	1	+5	+3.0	10
3	Lech Poznan	5	3	1	1	+4	+1.2	10
4	Cracovia	5	3	1	1	+3	-2.6	10
5	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+3	-0.9	9
6	Piast Gliwice	4	2	2	0	+3	+2.3	8
7	Rakow	5	2	2	1	+2	+3.6	8
8	Widzew Lodz	5	2	2	1	+1	-3.4	8
9	Gornik Zabrze	5	2	2	1	+0	-0.9	8
10	Puszcza	5	1	2	2	+0	+1.0	5
11	Motor Lublin	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.2	5
12	GKS Katowice	5	1	2	2	-1	-2.1	5
13	Zaglebie	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.2	5
14	Slask Wroclaw	4	0	3	1	-2	+2.9	3
15	Radomiak Radom	4	1	0	3	-4	+1.0	3
16	Korona Kielce	5	0	2	3	-6	-5.2	2
17	Lechia Gdansk	5	0	2	3	-7	-2.2	2
18	Stal Mielec	4	0	1	3	-4	-0.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	3	3	0	0	+6	+5.2	9
2	Legia	3	2	0	1	+4	+4.3	6
3	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.6	6
4	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.9	6
5	Puszcza	3	1	2	0	+3	+2.1	5
6	Piast Gliwice	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.0	4
7	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.9	4
8	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.6	4
9	Zaglebie	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
10	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.9	2
11	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
12	Rakow	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.9	1
13	Cracovia	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.1	1
14	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
15	GKS Katowice	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.7	1
16	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
17	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.4	0
18	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	3	3	0	0	+5	-0.4	9
2	Rakow	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.7	7
3	Motor Lublin	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.7	4
4	Legia	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.7	4
5	GKS Katowice	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.3	4
6	Piast Gliwice	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
7	Widzew Lodz	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.4	4
8	Lech Poznan	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.4	4
9	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.5	4
10	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
11	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
12	Korona Kielce	3	0	2	1	-3	-4.2	2
13	Pogon Szczecin	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
14	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.3	1
15	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.0	1
16	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-5	-1.5	1
17	Stal Mielec	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.8	0
18	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.