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Ligue 2
Referee: O Thual
Martigues
S T
0–1
Full-time
Lorient
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Martigues Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
3 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 11
0 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Martigues Lorient
Half-time 0–1
61′
⚽ B. Dieng 0–1
J. Ponceau
66′
🔁 A. Avom
↦ P. Pagis
67′
🔁 E. Kroupi
↦ A. Tosin
67′
🔁 S. Soumano
↦ B. Dieng
A. Ipiélé 🔁
↦ A. Djaha
76′
A. Diawara 🔁
↦ O. Mendy
77′
S. Belloumou 🔁
↦ M. Siby
78′
82′
🔁 T. Le Bris
↦ J. Ponceau
I. Zouaoui 🔁
↦ P. Ouotro
91′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Martigues

5-4-1
30 J. Aymes G
22 A. Djaha D
39 N. Saintini D
24 L. Morante D
5 S. Falette D
18 A. Amraoui D
12 M. Robin M
41 M. Bamba M
23 M. Siby M
29 O. Mendy M
19 P. Ouotro F
Bench (7)
27 A. Ipiélé
11 A. Diawara
26 S. Belloumou
8 I. Zouaoui
20 Y. Etilé
34 L. Gautier
33 M. Bonalair

Coach: T. Laurey

Lorient

4-2-3-1
38 Y. Mvogo G
2 Igor Silva D
5 F. Mendy D
3 M. Talbi D
44 D. Yongwa D
21 J. Ponceau M
6 L. Abergel M
93 J. Mvuka M
27 A. Tosin M
10 P. Pagis M
12 B. Dieng F
Bench (7)
62 A. Avom
22 E. Kroupi
28 S. Soumano
11 T. Le Bris
66 I. James
1 B. Leroy
24 G. Kalulu

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,82
🔒
U
3,35
🔒
B ✓
1,95
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,07
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,71
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.