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Premier League
Referee: D Coote
0–1
Full-time
Arsenal
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,01 xG 2,02
47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Crystal Palace 9. · Arsenal 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Brighton 2 2 0 0 +6 +2.6 6
2 Man City 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.5 6
3 Brentford 2 1 1 0 +3 +4.4 4
4 Liverpool 2 1 1 0 +2 +1.7 4
5 West Ham 2 1 1 0 +2 -1.0 4
6 Tottenham 2 1 1 0 +2 -1.3 4
7 Newcastle 2 1 0 1 +3 +0.9 3
8 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.3 3
9 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.4 3
10 Aston Villa 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.7 3
11 Nott'm Forest 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.2 3
12 Man United 2 1 0 1 -1 +0.2 3
13 Fulham 2 1 0 1 -2 -4.7 3
14 Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 -2 -1.5 1
15 Chelsea 2 0 1 1 -2 +0.8 1
16 Sheffield United 2 0 0 2 -2 -2.3 0
17 Luton 1 0 0 1 -3 -2.5 0
18 Burnley 1 0 0 1 -3 -1.8 0
19 Wolves 2 0 0 2 -4 +0.1 0
20 Everton 2 0 0 2 -5 -1.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Arsenal
Jordan Ayew 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–1
54′
M. Ødegaard 0–1
60′
🟨 Takehiro Tomiyasu
67′
🟨 Takehiro Tomiyasu
67′
🟥 Takehiro Tomiyasu
70′
🔁 Gabriel Magalhães
↦ Gabriel Martinelli
N. Ahamada 🔁
↦ J. Schlupp
74′
79′
🔁 Jorginho
↦ E. Nketiah
J. Rak-Sakyi 🔁
↦ J. Ward
83′
89′
🔁 O. Zinchenko
↦ M. Ødegaard
89′
🔁 J. Kiwior
↦ B. Saka
Cheick Doucouré 🟨
91′
94′
🟨 Kai Havertz
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

4-2-3-1
1 S. Johnstone G
2 J. Ward D
16 J. Andersen D
6 M. Guéhi D
3 T. Mitchell D
28 C. Doucouré M
8 J. Lerma M
9 J. Ayew M
10 E. Eze M
15 J. Schlupp M
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (8)
29 N. Ahamada
49 J. Rak-Sakyi
31 R. Matthews
5 J. Tomkins
44 J. Riedewald
17 N. Clyne
26 C. Richards
37 J. Gordon

Coach: R. Hodgson

Arsenal

4-3-3
1 A. Ramsdale G
5 T. Partey D
4 B. White D
2 W. Saliba D
18 T. Tomiyasu D
8 M. Ødegaard M
41 D. Rice M
29 K. Havertz M
7 B. Saka F
14 E. Nketiah F
11 Gabriel Martinelli F
Bench (9)
6 Gabriel Magalhães
20 Jorginho
35 O. Zinchenko
15 J. Kiwior
22 David Raya
24 R. Nelson
10 E. Smith Rowe
19 L. Trossard
21 Fábio Vieira

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,79
U
4,06
B ✓
1,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Coote · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.