Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Crystal Palace
Arsenal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Brighton
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | +2.6 | 6 |
| 2 |
Man City
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +2.5 | 6 |
| 3 |
Brentford
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | +4.4 | 4 |
| 4 |
Liverpool
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | +1.7 | 4 |
| 5 |
West Ham
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | -1.0 | 4 |
| 6 |
Tottenham
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | -1.3 | 4 |
| 7 |
Newcastle
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | +0.9 | 3 |
| 8 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -0.3 | 3 |
| 9 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +1.4 | 3 |
| 10 |
Aston Villa
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +0.7 | 3 |
| 11 |
Nott'm Forest
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +1.2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Man United
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +0.2 | 3 |
| 13 |
Fulham
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -4.7 | 3 |
| 14 |
Bournemouth
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -1.5 | 1 |
| 15 |
Chelsea
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | +0.8 | 1 |
| 16 |
Sheffield United
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -2.3 | 0 |
| 17 |
Luton
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -2.5 | 0 |
| 18 |
Burnley
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -1.8 | 0 |
| 19 |
Wolves
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | +0.1 | 0 |
| 20 |
Everton
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | -1.1 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Johnstone
G
J. Andersen
D
M. Guéhi
D
T. Mitchell
D
C. Doucouré
M
J. Lerma
M
J. Ayew
M
E. Eze
M
O. Édouard
F
Coach: R. Hodgson
B. White
D
T. Tomiyasu
D
M. Ødegaard
M
D. Rice
M
K. Havertz
M
B. Saka
F
E. Nketiah
F
Coach: Mikel Arteta
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sheffield United
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Nott'm Forest
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
D Coote · 118 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.