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Eliteserien

Referee: S Amland

Kristiansund

T T U T T

3–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

5,0

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

2,0

3,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 24%

18%

30%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

55%

60%

Both score Ø 62%

73%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,52 xG 0,91

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kristiansund 13. · Sarpsborg 08 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	13	8	3	2	+9	+11.0	27
2	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	3	1	+16	+8.4	24
3	Molde	12	6	3	3	+9	+10.0	21
4	Fredrikstad	11	6	3	2	+9	+0.8	21
5	Viking	11	5	4	2	+5	+4.6	19
6	Stromsgodset	10	5	1	4	-1	-2.2	16
7	KFUM Oslo	10	3	5	2	+0	+3.4	14
8	Rosenborg	10	4	1	5	-3	-3.0	13
9	Haugesund	10	4	1	5	-4	-1.8	13
10	Odd	11	3	3	5	-10	-11.7	12
11	Ham-Kam	12	2	4	6	-1	-1.7	10
12	Tromso	10	3	1	6	-4	-5.4	10
13	Kristiansund	11	2	4	5	-5	-6.3	10
14	Lillestrom	10	3	1	6	-7	-3.3	10
15	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	1	6	-9	-3.4	10
16	Sandefjord	10	2	2	6	-4	+0.7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	7	5	0	2	+4	+8.6	15
2	Bodo/Glimt	6	3	3	0	+6	+4.6	12
3	Molde	7	3	2	2	+4	+8.9	11
4	Viking	6	3	2	1	+2	+2.3	11
5	Tromso	6	3	0	3	+2	-0.0	9
6	Rosenborg	5	3	0	2	+0	+1.8	9
7	Fredrikstad	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.7	8
8	Stromsgodset	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.1	7
9	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.2	6
10	Kristiansund	5	1	3	1	-1	+1.7	6
11	Haugesund	5	2	0	3	-3	+1.5	6
12	Odd	6	1	2	3	-6	-4.4	5
13	Ham-Kam	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.0	4
14	KFUM Oslo	5	0	3	2	-5	+3.8	3
15	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	0	4	-10	+0.1	3
16	Lillestrom	5	0	1	4	-11	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	6	4	1	1	+7	-0.8	13
2	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	0	1	+10	+3.7	12
3	Brann	6	3	3	0	+5	+2.4	12
4	KFUM Oslo	5	3	2	0	+5	-0.4	11
5	Molde	5	3	1	1	+5	+1.1	10
6	Lillestrom	5	3	0	2	+4	+0.2	9
7	Stromsgodset	6	3	0	3	-3	-2.3	9
8	Viking	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.3	8
9	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	1	2	+1	-3.5	7
10	Haugesund	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.2	7
11	Odd	5	2	1	2	-4	-7.4	7
12	Ham-Kam	7	1	3	3	+1	+0.3	6
13	Rosenborg	5	1	1	3	-3	-4.8	4
14	Kristiansund	6	1	1	4	-4	-8.0	4
15	Sandefjord	6	0	2	4	-5	+0.9	2
16	Tromso	4	0	1	3	-6	-5.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.