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LaLiga2
Referee: Alejandro Quintero
Villarreal B
S T T U T
1–0
Full-time
Santander
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal B Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 34%
24%
44%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
49%
51%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
22 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal B 22. · Santander 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valladolid 41 21 9 11 +16 72
2 Leganes 41 19 14 8 +27 71
3 Eibar 41 20 8 13 +23 68
4 Espanol 41 16 18 7 +16 66
5 Oviedo 41 17 13 11 +17 64
6 Santander 41 18 10 13 +9 64
7 Sp Gijon 41 17 11 13 +8 62
8 Levante 42 13 20 9 +4 59
9 Elche 41 16 11 14 -1 59
10 Burgos 42 16 11 15 -2 59
11 Ferrol 42 15 14 13 -3 59
12 Tenerife 41 14 11 16 -4 53
13 Cartagena 41 14 9 18 -11 51
14 Zaragoza 41 12 14 15 +0 50
15 Albacete 41 12 14 15 -6 50
16 Eldense 41 12 14 15 -9 50
17 Huesca 42 11 16 15 +3 49
18 Mirandes 41 11 13 17 -9 46
19 Amorebieta 41 11 12 18 -15 45
20 Alcorcon 42 10 14 18 -21 44
21 Andorra 42 11 10 21 -20 43
22 Villarreal B 41 10 10 21 -22 40

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal B Santander
28′
🟨 Aritz Aldasoro
Jorge Pascual 🟨
38′
Tiago Geralnik 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🟨 Jordi Mboula
Víctor Moreno 🔁
↦ Jorge Pascual
70′
Pau Cabanes 🔁
↦ Diego Collado
70′
1–0 Víctor Moreno
Adrià Alti
72′
77′
🔁 Andrés Martín
↦ Peque Fernández
77′
🔁 Marco Sangalli
↦ Jordi Mboula
Aitor Gelardo 🔁
↦ T. Geralnik
88′
89′
🔁 Jeremy Arévalo
↦ Íñigo Sainz-Maza
89′
🔁 Ekain Zenitagoia
↦ Dani Fernández
89′
🔁 Mario García
↦ Manu Hernando
Rodrigo Alonso 🟨
90′
Pau Cabanes De La Torre 🟨
92′
Gerard Hernández 🔁
↦ Reque
93′
Stefan Leković 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Villarreal B

4-4-2
1 Iker Álvarez G
2 Adrià Alti D
33 Pau Navarro D
12 S. Leković D
3 Dani Tasende D
21 Rodri Alonso M
22 T. Geralnik M
27 Reque M
18 Carlos Romero M
7 Diego Collado F
11 Jorge Pascual F
Bench (10)
23 Víctor Moreno
36 Pau Cabanes
14 Aitor Gelardo
38 Gerard Hernández
28 Fran Tafalla
13 Miguel Ángel Morro
24 A. Ferrari
15 Marcos Sánchez
35 Rubén Gómez
29 Espigares

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
23 Dani Fernández D
18 Manu Hernando D
5 Germán Sánchez D
3 Saúl García D
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza M
21 Aritz Aldasoro M
8 Jordi Mboula M
17 Peque Fernández M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (12)
11 Andrés Martín
7 Marco Sangalli
29 Jeremy Arévalo
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
40 Mario García
33 Marcos Bustillo
20 L. Junior
15 Rubén Alves
22 Juan Gutiérrez
4 Pol Moreno
12 R. Baturina
1 Miquel Parera

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,50
U
3,94
B
1,66
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Quintero · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.