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Eliteserien

Referee: M Grøtta

Rosenborg

T U T T S

1–1

Full-time

Fredrikstad

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 48%

40%

55%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

70%

45%

Both score Ø 48%

60%

36%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,07 xG 1,44

60% Possession 40%

11 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rosenborg 9. · Fredrikstad 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	8	3	1	+17	+10.8	27
2	Brann	13	8	3	2	+9	+11.0	27
3	Molde	12	6	3	3	+9	+10.0	21
4	Fredrikstad	11	6	3	2	+9	+0.8	21
5	Viking	11	5	4	2	+5	+4.6	19
6	Stromsgodset	11	5	2	4	-1	-2.8	17
7	KFUM Oslo	11	3	6	2	+0	+4.7	15
8	Kristiansund	12	3	4	5	-3	-4.7	13
9	Rosenborg	10	4	1	5	-3	-3.0	13
10	Haugesund	11	4	1	6	-5	-4.2	13
11	Lillestrom	11	4	1	6	-6	-3.7	13
12	Odd	12	3	4	5	-10	-11.1	13
13	Ham-Kam	12	2	4	6	-1	-1.7	10
14	Tromso	11	3	1	7	-5	-5.0	10
15	Sarpsborg 08	11	3	1	7	-11	-5.0	10
16	Sandefjord	11	2	3	6	-4	-0.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	7	5	0	2	+4	+8.6	15
2	Bodo/Glimt	6	3	3	0	+6	+4.6	12
3	Molde	7	3	2	2	+4	+8.9	11
4	Viking	6	3	2	1	+2	+2.3	11
5	Tromso	7	3	0	4	+1	+0.3	9
6	Kristiansund	6	2	3	1	+1	+3.3	9
7	Rosenborg	5	3	0	2	+0	+1.8	9
8	Fredrikstad	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.7	8
9	Stromsgodset	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.5	8
10	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.2	6
11	Haugesund	6	2	0	4	-4	-0.9	6
12	Odd	6	1	2	3	-6	-4.4	5
13	Ham-Kam	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.0	4
14	KFUM Oslo	6	0	4	2	-5	+5.1	4
15	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	0	4	-10	+0.1	3
16	Lillestrom	5	0	1	4	-11	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	6	5	0	1	+11	+6.2	15
2	Fredrikstad	6	4	1	1	+7	-0.8	13
3	Brann	6	3	3	0	+5	+2.4	12
4	Lillestrom	6	4	0	2	+5	-0.1	12
5	KFUM Oslo	5	3	2	0	+5	-0.4	11
6	Molde	5	3	1	1	+5	+1.1	10
7	Stromsgodset	6	3	0	3	-3	-2.3	9
8	Viking	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.3	8
9	Odd	6	2	2	2	-4	-6.8	8
10	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	1	3	-1	-5.1	7
11	Haugesund	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.2	7
12	Ham-Kam	7	1	3	3	+1	+0.3	6
13	Rosenborg	5	1	1	3	-3	-4.8	4
14	Kristiansund	6	1	1	4	-4	-8.0	4
15	Sandefjord	7	0	3	4	-5	-0.5	3
16	Tromso	4	0	1	3	-6	-5.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.