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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
Dunkerque
T S T U U
1–0
Full-time
Guingamp
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,7
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
38%
65%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Dunkerque 4. · Guingamp 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 34 22 5 7 +37 71
2 Paris FC 34 21 6 7 +22 69
3 Metz 34 18 11 5 +30 65
4 Dunkerque 34 17 5 12 +7 56
5 Guingamp 34 17 4 13 +12 55
6 Annecy 34 14 9 11 -1 51
7 Laval 34 14 8 12 +6 50
8 Bastia 34 11 15 8 +6 48
9 Grenoble 34 13 7 14 -1 46
10 Troyes 34 13 5 16 +2 44
11 Amiens 34 13 4 17 -12 43
12 Ajaccio 34 12 6 16 -12 42
13 Pau FC 34 10 12 12 -14 42
14 Rodez 34 9 12 13 +2 39
15 Red Star 34 9 11 14 -14 38
16 Clermont 34 7 12 15 -16 33
17 Martigues 34 9 5 20 -27 32
18 Caen 34 5 7 22 -27 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Guingamp
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Rivera
46′
L. Castro 🟨
62′
66′
🔁 T. Le Bris
↦ R. Ghrieb
66′
🔁 A. Sagna
↦ A. Hemia
66′
🔁 B. Labeau
↦ J. Siwe
70′
ℹ️ L. Vallier
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
G. Yassine 🔁
↦ A. Ba
72′
A. Sekongo 🔁
↦ N. Skyttä
78′
78′
🔁 S. Guendouz
↦ S. Nair
E. Jaouen 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dunkerque

1 E. Jaouen
23 V. Sasso
26 Opa Sanganté
30 Abner
2 A. Georgen
22 N. Skyttä
8 M. Rivera
20 E. Bardeli
31 A. Ba
28 U. Raghouber
18 G. Courtet
Bench (7)
80 G. Yassine
15 A. Sekongo
9 K. Tejan
24 I. Koné
19 Y. Bammou
27 A. Linguet
21 G. Kondo

Coach: Luís Castro

Guingamp

16 E. Basilio
7 D. Gomis
6 L. Vallier
22 A. Sissoko
18 S. Nair
4 D. Louiserre
8 K. Sidibé
13 A. Hemia
10 H. Picard
21 R. Ghrieb
17 J. Siwe
Bench (7)
28 T. Le Bris
11 A. Sagna
9 B. Labeau
19 S. Guendouz
26 M. Riou
30 B. Niasse
23 T. Luvambo

Coach: S. Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.