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Super League
Referee: V Fotias
1–1
Full-time
Panserraikos
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Athens Kallithea Panserraikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Super League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 23%
17%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
46%
63%
Both score Ø 53%
51%
54%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
6 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Athens Kallithea 14. · Panserraikos 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 34 24 6 4 +36 78
2 Panathinaikos 34 17 9 8 +8 60
3 PAOK 34 18 5 11 +24 59
4 AEK 34 17 6 11 +24 57
5 Aris Thessalonikis 32 16 8 8 +10 56
6 Aris 32 16 8 8 +10 56
7 Asteras Tripolis 36 14 6 16 -8 48
8 Levadeiakos 36 12 11 13 +6 47
9 Atromitos 36 12 9 15 +0 45
10 Panetolikos 36 12 9 15 -5 45
11 OFI Crete 36 12 9 15 -6 45
12 Volos NFC 36 12 7 17 -12 43
13 Panserraikos 35 10 6 19 -21 36
14 Athens Kallithea 35 6 11 18 -24 29
15 Lamia 36 4 8 24 -42 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Athens Kallithea Panserraikos
1–0 M. Alfarela
K. Lebon
10′
Dimitrios Metaxas 🟨
15′
Nicolas Isimat-Mirin 🟨
24′
30′
🔁 T. Koutsogoulas
↦ M. Fares
Alessandro Mercati 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
46′
P. Deligiannidis 1–1
G. Manthatis 🔁
↦ P. Soiri
70′
E. Giani 🔁
↦ G. Loukinas
71′
A. Vasilogiannis 🔁
↦ A. Mercati
78′
81′
🔁 A. Liasos
↦ P. Staikos
I. Sardelis 🔁
↦ J. McGarry
85′
89′
🔁 A. Maskanakis
↦ J. Salazar
92′
🟨 Panagiotis Deligiannidis
Elia Giani 🟥
93′
94′
🟨 Luka Gugeshashvili
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Athens Kallithea

5-3-2
24 I. Gelios G
23 P. Soiri D
2 J. Mejías D
77 N. Isimat-Mirin D
11 N. Kainourgios D
5 J. McGarry D
26 A. Mercati M
21 D. Metaxas M
95 K. Lebon M
25 G. Loukinas F
9 M. Alfarela F
Bench (9)
14 G. Manthatis
18 E. Giani
7 A. Vasilogiannis
20 I. Sardelis
17 M. Ndiaye
3 N. Nikolić
27 G. Vrakas
29 M. Mellado
1 A. Pantos

Coach: A. Prionas

Panserraikos

5-3-2
23 L. Gugeshashvili G
64 P. Deligiannidis D
30 Volnei Feltes D
31 E. Bergström D
91 J. Davidson D
93 M. Fares D
40 S. Oméonga M
26 P. Staikos M
25 J. Gélin M
77 J. Salazar F
10 Jefté Betancor F
Bench (9)
2 T. Koutsogoulas
8 A. Liasos
17 A. Maskanakis
7 M. Deletić
47 A. Karamanolis
13 P. Katsikas
21 M. Sofianos
39 Muhammad Al Rashdi
4 A. Karasalidis

Coach: Juan Ferrando

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U ✓
3,73
B
4,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.