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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Jagiellonia

S T U U S

1–2

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 43%

41%

45%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

66%

48%

Both score Ø 59%

66%

52%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,09 xG 1,69

61% Possession 39%

18 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 2. · Gornik Zabrze 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	29	13	10	6	+10	+23.0	49
2	Jagiellonia	29	12	10	7	+12	-4.3	46
3	Gornik Zabrze	29	13	7	9	+8	-4.3	46
4	Wisla Plock	29	12	9	8	+5	-1.0	45
5	Zaglebie	30	12	8	10	+7	-7.3	44
6	Rakow	29	12	7	10	+5	+8.9	43
7	Lechia Gdansk	29	12	7	10	+4	+5.0	43
8	GKS Katowice	29	13	4	12	+2	-5.8	43
9	Motor Lublin	29	9	12	8	-4	-8.4	39
10	Radomiak Radom	29	9	10	10	+2	+1.1	37
11	Legia	29	8	13	8	+2	+4.7	37
12	Korona Kielce	29	10	7	12	+1	-3.4	37
13	Cracovia	29	9	10	10	-3	+1.8	37
14	Pogon Szczecin	29	11	4	14	-5	+4.2	37
15	Piast Gliwice	29	10	6	13	-4	-2.9	36
16	Arka Gdynia	29	9	7	13	-20	-6.2	34
17	Widzew Lodz	29	9	6	14	-3	+4.1	33
18	Nieciecza	30	7	7	16	-19	-9.1	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	15	10	1	4	+15	+3.5	31
2	GKS Katowice	15	9	2	4	+7	-0.4	29
3	Arka Gdynia	15	8	5	2	+4	-1.0	29
4	Radomiak Radom	15	8	4	3	+15	+10.3	28
5	Lechia Gdansk	15	8	4	3	+13	+5.9	28
6	Wisla Plock	14	8	3	3	+6	+2.0	27
7	Zaglebie	15	7	5	3	+12	+0.9	26
8	Pogon Szczecin	15	8	2	5	+6	+6.0	26
9	Jagiellonia	14	7	3	4	+9	+3.5	24
10	Legia	15	6	6	3	+6	+4.5	24
11	Lech Poznan	14	6	5	3	+6	+12.9	23
12	Motor Lublin	15	5	8	2	+4	+1.0	23
13	Rakow	14	6	4	4	+5	+4.8	22
14	Widzew Lodz	14	6	4	4	+3	+4.2	22
15	Korona Kielce	14	6	3	5	+5	+4.3	21
16	Cracovia	14	5	6	3	+4	+6.2	21
17	Piast Gliwice	14	5	3	6	-1	+2.1	18
18	Nieciecza	15	3	4	8	-10	-3.6	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	15	7	5	3	+4	+10.1	26
2	Jagiellonia	15	5	7	3	+3	-7.8	22
3	Rakow	15	6	3	6	+0	+4.1	21
4	Wisla Plock	15	4	6	5	-1	-3.0	18
5	Piast Gliwice	15	5	3	7	-3	-5.0	18
6	Zaglebie	15	5	3	7	-5	-8.2	18
7	Korona Kielce	15	4	4	7	-4	-7.7	16
8	Cracovia	15	4	4	7	-7	-4.4	16
9	Motor Lublin	14	4	4	6	-8	-9.4	16
10	Gornik Zabrze	14	3	6	5	-7	-7.8	15
11	Lechia Gdansk	14	4	3	7	-9	-1.0	15
12	Nieciecza	15	4	3	8	-9	-5.5	15
13	GKS Katowice	14	4	2	8	-5	-5.4	14
14	Legia	14	2	7	5	-4	+0.2	13
15	Widzew Lodz	15	3	2	10	-6	-0.2	11
16	Pogon Szczecin	14	3	2	9	-11	-1.8	11
17	Radomiak Radom	14	1	6	7	-13	-9.2	9
18	Arka Gdynia	14	1	2	11	-24	-5.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.