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Ekstraklasa
Referee: L Kuźma
Cracovia
T U S T U
5–0
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
37%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
53%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,65 xG 0,15
31% Possession 69%
18 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cracovia 14. · Gornik Zabrze 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 30 16 8 6 +27 +13.2 56
2 Lech Poznan 30 14 10 6 +9 -5.7 52
3 Slask Wroclaw 30 14 9 7 +11 +6.0 51
4 Gornik Zabrze 30 15 6 9 +10 -6.5 51
5 Legia 30 13 11 6 +12 +9.3 50
6 Rakow 30 13 10 7 +19 +20.4 49
7 Pogon Szczecin 30 14 6 10 +20 +13.4 48
8 Widzew Lodz 30 12 6 12 +0 -3.2 42
9 Piast Gliwice 30 8 14 8 +0 +13.2 38
10 Stal Mielec 30 10 8 12 -6 -11.8 38
11 Zaglebie 30 10 8 12 -11 +3.0 38
12 Radomiak Radom 30 9 8 13 -14 -4.4 35
13 Warta Poznan 30 8 10 12 -6 -9.1 34
14 Cracovia 30 6 15 9 -2 -1.5 33
15 Puszcza 30 7 12 11 -11 -14.8 33
16 Korona Kielce 30 6 13 11 -4 -0.6 31
17 Ruch Chorzow 30 3 14 13 -18 -6.0 23
18 LKS Lodz 30 5 6 19 -36 -14.9 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Gornik Zabrze
1–0 P. Makuch
M. Rakoczy
4′
25′
🔁 Ł. Podolski
↦ S. Czyż
1–1 R. Janicki
own goal
42′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Kozuki
↦ E. Janža
46′
🔁 S. Musiolik
↦ A. Kaprálik
Michał Rakoczy 🟨
49′
2–1 O. Kakabadze
53′
3–1 K. Glik
K. Knap
68′
J. Atanasov 🔁
↦ K. Knap
70′
75′
🟨 Kamil Lukoszek
76′
🔁 P. Olkowski
↦ B. Sekulić
76′
🔁 Filipe Nascimento
↦ Dani Pacheco
F. Rózga 🔁
↦ P. Makuch
77′
Filip Rózga 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Lawrence Ennali
80′
🟨 Lawrence Ennali
80′
🟥 Lawrence Ennali
Jani Atanasov 🟨
82′
4–1 J. Atanasov
F. Rózga
84′
P. Jaroszyński 🔁
↦ D. Ólafsson
85′
M. Maigaard 🔁
↦ P. Sokołowski
85′
M. Bochnak 🔁
↦ B. Källman
86′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-3
31 L. Hroššo G
5 V. Ghiță D
15 K. Glik D
3 A. Skovgaard D
25 O. Kakabadze M
88 P. Sokołowski M
20 K. Knap M
19 D. Ólafsson M
7 P. Makuch F
9 B. Källman F
10 M. Rakoczy F
Bench (9)
6 J. Atanasov
63 F. Rózga
4 P. Jaroszyński
11 M. Maigaard
17 M. Bochnak
33 E. Bitri
13 S. Madejski
2 C. Râpă
72 B. Kolec

Coach: D. Kroczek

Gornik Zabrze

4-2-3-1
1 D. Bielica G
2 B. Sekulić D
5 K. Szcześniak D
26 R. Janicki D
64 E. Janža D
6 D. Rasak M
8 Dani Pacheco M
17 K. Lukoszek M
55 S. Czyż M
11 L. Ennali M
7 A. Kaprálik F
Bench (9)
10 Ł. Podolski
41 S. Kozuki
9 S. Musiolik
16 P. Olkowski
23 Filipe Nascimento
21 P. Krawczyk
25 M. Sipľak
13 K. Triantafyllópoulos
32 M. Szromnik

Coach: J. Urban

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Kuźma · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.