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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Jakubik
Wisla Plock
U T U S T
2–4
Full-time
Jagiellonia
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wisla Plock Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 31%
36%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 63%
57%
68%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 3
10 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wisla Plock 9. · Jagiellonia 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 28 20 5 3 +35 65
2 Legia 28 16 9 3 +15 57
3 Lech Poznan 28 13 9 6 +13 48
4 Pogon Szczecin 28 13 8 7 +4 47
5 Warta Poznan 28 11 8 9 +7 41
6 Piast Gliwice 28 11 6 11 +3 39
7 Cracovia 28 10 8 10 +6 38
8 Widzew Lodz 28 10 8 10 -1 38
9 Wisla Plock 28 10 6 12 +1 36
10 Stal Mielec 28 9 8 11 -2 35
11 Radomiak Radom 28 9 7 12 -6 34
12 Korona Kielce 28 9 7 12 -8 34
13 Jagiellonia 28 7 12 9 +1 33
14 Gornik Zabrze 28 8 8 12 -5 32
15 Slask Wroclaw 28 7 10 11 -12 31
16 Zaglebie 28 8 7 13 -16 31
17 Lechia Gdansk 28 7 5 16 -19 26
18 Legnica 28 4 9 15 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wisla Plock Jagiellonia
1–0 B. Śpiączka
R. Wolski
2′
2–0 Ł. Sekulski
10′
35′
Marc Gual 2–1
Nené
Half-time 2–2
46′
Marc Gual 2–2
T. Přikryl
55′
🟨 Bojan Nastić
56′
🔁 A. Nguiamba
↦ C. Mena
58′
Marc Gual 2–3
M. Sáček
61′
🔁 B. Wdowik
↦ B. Nastić
70′
Jesús Imaz 2–4
Marc Gual
71′
🔁 P. Olszewski
↦ T. Přikryl
72′
🔁 T. Kupisz
↦ M. Sáček
74′
🟨 Israel Puerto
Dominik Furman 🟨
79′
R. Cielemęcki 🔁
↦ D. Furman
80′
D. Kocyła 🔁
↦ P. Tomasik
80′
Rafał Wolski 🟨
82′
86′
🟨 Michał Pazdan
87′
🟨 Mateusz Skrzypczak
T. Walczak 🔁
↦ Ł. Sekulski
88′
Jakub Rzeźniczak 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Wisla Plock

3-4-2-1
69 B. Gradecki G
71 J. Szymański D
3 S. Kapuadi D
25 J. Rzeźniczak D
14 M. Szwoch M
8 D. Furman M
23 F. Lesniak M
77 P. Tomasik M
10 R. Wolski F
20 Ł. Sekulski F
18 B. Śpiączka F
Bench (9)
7 R. Cielemęcki
9 D. Kocyła
99 T. Walczak
24 M. Kolar
22 M. Gono
4 A. Chrzanowski
1 K. Kamiński
21 I. Drapiński
11 M. Hašek

Coach: P. Staňo

Jagiellonia

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Alomerović G
72 M. Skrzypczak D
4 Israel Puerto D
2 M. Pazdan D
14 T. Přikryl M
16 M. Sáček M
8 Nené M
5 B. Nastić M
10 C. Mena F
11 Jesús Imaz F
28 Marc Gual F
Bench (9)
39 A. Nguiamba
27 B. Wdowik
19 P. Olszewski
18 T. Kupisz
32 M. Matysik
9 B. Bida
3 D. Stojinović
50 S. Abramowicz
36 J. Lewicki

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Jakubik · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.