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Eredivisie
Referee: E Blank
MVV
T T
1–4
Full-time
NAC Breda
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

MVV NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
3,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

65% Possession 35%
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 33 25 7 1 +52 82
2 PSV Eindhoven 33 22 6 5 +48 72
3 Ajax 33 20 9 4 +50 69
4 AZ Alkmaar 33 20 7 6 +34 67
5 Twente 29 17 7 5 +38 58
6 Sparta Rotterdam 29 16 6 7 +23 54
7 Utrecht 31 12 9 10 -1 45
8 Waalwijk 33 11 8 14 -10 41
9 Go Ahead Eagles 33 10 10 13 -8 40
10 Heerenveen 31 10 9 12 -9 39
11 Nijmegen 33 8 14 11 -3 38
12 Vitesse 33 9 10 14 -6 37
13 For Sittard 33 10 5 18 -23 35
14 Volendam 33 9 6 18 -30 33
15 Excelsior 33 9 5 19 -38 32
16 FC Emmen 33 6 10 17 -31 28
17 Groningen 33 4 6 23 -39 18
18 Cambuur 33 4 4 25 -47 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. May -23 NAC Breda – MVV 1–0

Match report

MVV NAC Breda
20′
⚽ E. Ómarsson 0–1
S. Agougil
29′
⚽ S. Agougil 0–2
E. Ómarsson
38′
⚽ E. Banzuzi 0–3
J. Vet
Half-time 0–3
D. Livramento 🔁
↦ M. Remans
46′
T. Zeegers 🔁
↦ R. Zeegers
46′
55′
🔁 J. Herrmann
↦ E. Ómarsson
Tim Zeegers 🟨
56′
57′
🟨 Anselmo Garcia McNulty
N. El Basri 🔁
↦ S. Blummel
59′
67′
🔁 C. Staring
↦ S. Agougil
67′
🔁 A. Omgba
↦ M. Garbett
1–3 D. Livramento ⚽
68′
70′
🟨 Casper Staring
Ruben van Bommel 🟨
74′
78′
🔁 M. Rutten
↦ E. Banzuzi
83′
🟥 Roy Kortsmit
93′
⚽ J. Herrmann 1–4
A. Omgba
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

MVV

4-2-3-1
12 R. Matthys G
3 R. Zeegers D
2 R. Van Helden D
4 M. Waem D
21 L. Labylle D
11 O. Džepar M
8 N. Souren M
7 S. Blummel M
16 J. Steuckers M
9 M. Remans M
14 R. van Bommel F
Bench (10)
22 D. Livramento
32 T. Zeegers
30 N. El Basri
40 M. Van Hecke
17 T. van Bommel
28 J. Vijgen
15 L. Noviello
24 S. Penders
1 T. Lambrix
5 L. Schenk

Coach: M. Verberne

NAC Breda

4-3-1-2
1 R. Kortsmit G
2 B. Lucassen D
15 C. Martina D
3 A. MacNulty D
5 F. Di Michele Sanchez D
26 M. Garbett M
16 J. Vet M
8 E. Banzuzi M
18 S. Agougil M
20 E. Ómarsson F
9 J. van der Sande F
Bench (11)
19 J. Herrmann
32 C. Staring
28 A. Omgba
21 M. Rutten
23 R. Besselink
24 T. Velthuis
41 A. Kaied
37 A. van Lare
36 P. van de Merbel
39 T. Boere
27 T. Marijnissen

Coach: P. Hyballa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Blank · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.