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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

Lech Poznan

S U T S T

5–0

Full-time

Lechia Gdansk

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Lechia Gdansk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,5

1,8

Scored

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 36%

45%

27%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

45%

64%

Both score Ø 48%

45%

50%

Average goals

2,1

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%

20 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 4. · Lechia Gdansk 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	22	16	4	2	+27	52
2	Legia	22	12	7	3	+8	43
3	Widzew Lodz	22	10	6	6	+6	36
4	Lech Poznan	22	10	6	6	+5	36
5	Pogon Szczecin	22	10	6	6	+3	36
6	Cracovia	22	9	5	8	+7	32
7	Radomiak Radom	22	9	5	8	+1	32
8	Warta Poznan	21	8	6	7	+4	30
9	Stal Mielec	23	8	5	10	-2	29
10	Wisla Plock	21	8	4	9	+1	28
11	Slask Wroclaw	22	7	7	8	-6	28
12	Piast Gliwice	23	7	5	11	-1	26
13	Zaglebie	22	7	5	10	-12	26
14	Gornik Zabrze	22	6	7	9	-5	25
15	Jagiellonia	22	5	9	8	+0	24
16	Lechia Gdansk	22	6	4	12	-14	22
17	Korona Kielce	22	5	5	12	-12	20
18	Legnica	22	4	6	12	-10	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	11	10	1	0	+21	31
2	Legia	11	7	4	0	+9	25
3	Cracovia	11	6	2	3	+8	20
4	Wisla Plock	10	6	1	3	+7	19
5	Widzew Lodz	11	5	3	3	+4	18
6	Pogon Szczecin	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Slask Wroclaw	12	4	5	3	-2	17
8	Jagiellonia	11	5	1	5	+4	16
9	Stal Mielec	12	4	4	4	+2	16
10	Lech Poznan	11	5	1	5	-1	16
11	Radomiak Radom	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Legnica	11	3	4	4	-3	13
13	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	3	5	-8	12
14	Warta Poznan	11	2	5	4	-1	11
15	Piast Gliwice	11	3	2	6	-1	11
16	Korona Kielce	10	3	2	5	-2	11
17	Gornik Zabrze	11	2	4	5	-5	10
18	Zaglebie	12	2	4	6	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	11	6	3	2	+6	21
2	Lech Poznan	11	5	5	1	+6	20
3	Warta Poznan	10	6	1	3	+5	19
4	Radomiak Radom	11	5	3	3	+2	18
5	Widzew Lodz	11	5	3	3	+2	18
6	Pogon Szczecin	12	5	3	4	+0	18
7	Legia	11	5	3	3	-1	18
8	Zaglebie	10	5	1	4	-4	16
9	Gornik Zabrze	11	4	3	4	+0	15
10	Piast Gliwice	12	4	3	5	+0	15
11	Stal Mielec	11	4	1	6	-4	13
12	Cracovia	11	3	3	5	-1	12
13	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	1	7	-6	10
15	Wisla Plock	11	2	3	6	-6	9
16	Korona Kielce	12	2	3	7	-10	9
17	Jagiellonia	11	0	8	3	-4	8
18	Legnica	11	1	2	8	-7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.