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Superligaen
Referee: Lasse Laebel Graagaard
Aalborg
U T T S T
2–3
Full-time
Odense
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Odense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,8
This season — Superligaen · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 24%
17%
30%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
57%
Both score Ø 59%
52%
65%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 8
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalborg 11. · Odense 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 23 14 3 6 +24 45
2 Nordsjaelland 23 12 7 4 +17 43
3 Viborg 24 11 7 6 +9 40
4 Aarhus 24 11 6 7 +7 39
5 Randers FC 23 8 9 6 -2 33
6 Midtjylland 23 7 10 6 +5 31
7 Silkeborg 23 8 6 9 -1 30
8 Brondby 23 8 6 9 -5 30
9 Odense 23 7 7 9 -13 28
10 Horsens 23 6 5 12 -15 23
11 Aalborg 23 4 6 13 -11 18
12 Lyngby 23 3 8 12 -15 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalborg Odense
13′
J. Tverskov 0–1
M. Frøkjær-Jensen
Younes Bakiz 🟨
30′
Jakob Ahlmann 🟨
30′
30′
🟨 Martin Hansen
39′
M. Frøkjær-Jensen 0–2
E. Sabbi
Half-time 1–2
1–2 L. Prip
J. Ahlmann
48′
53′
🟨 Yankuba Minteh
59′
🔁 B. Paulsen
↦ G. Grubbe
N. Helenius 🔁
↦ M. Ramkilde
70′
L. Andersen 🔁
↦ L. Prip
70′
71′
🔁 B. Kadrii
↦ E. Sabbi
2–2 Allan Sousa
71′
75′
B. Kadrii 2–3
D. Granli 🔁
↦ J. Ahlmann
80′
O. Ross 🔁
↦ Y. Bakiz
80′
87′
🔁 A. Þrándarson
↦ F. Tongya
A. Ementa 🔁
↦ R. Thelander
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Aalborg

4-2-3-1
22 T. Sander G
2 K. Pallesen D
4 L. Kramer D
26 R. Thelander D
3 J. Ahlmann D
8 I. Fossum M
6 Pedro Ferreira M
18 L. Prip M
23 Y. Bakiz M
7 Allan Sousa M
29 M. Ramkilde F
Bench (9)
17 N. Helenius
10 L. Andersen
5 D. Granli
38 O. Ross
19 A. Ementa
40 N. Mantl
24 J. Skulstad
34 S. Otoa
14 M. Højholt

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Odense

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hansen G
14 G. Grubbe D
28 T. Slotsager D
22 M. Ivančević D
23 A. Adelgaard D
6 J. Tverskov M
5 A. Manneh M
30 Y. Minteh M
29 M. Frøkjær-Jensen M
10 F. Tongya M
11 E. Sabbi F
Bench (9)
4 B. Paulsen
9 B. Kadrii
19 A. Þrándarson
13 H. Christian Bernat
21 C. Nouck
17 K. Zohorè
18 M. Juwara
8 J. Breum
2 N. Mickelson

Coach: A. Alm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.