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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Kos

Stal Mielec

T T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Jagiellonia

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

0,3

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 28%

32%

24%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

32%

48%

Both score Ø 50%

32%

68%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

18 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stal Mielec 13. · Jagiellonia 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	26	19	4	3	+33	61
2	Legia	26	16	7	3	+15	55
3	Lech Poznan	26	12	8	6	+11	44
4	Pogon Szczecin	26	11	8	7	+2	41
5	Warta Poznan	26	10	8	8	+7	38
6	Widzew Lodz	26	10	8	8	+3	38
7	Cracovia	26	9	8	9	+4	35
8	Piast Gliwice	26	9	6	11	+1	33
9	Wisla Plock	26	9	6	11	+0	33
10	Radomiak Radom	26	9	6	11	-3	33
11	Slask Wroclaw	26	7	10	9	-9	31
12	Zaglebie	26	8	7	11	-12	31
13	Stal Mielec	25	8	6	11	-4	30
14	Korona Kielce	26	8	6	12	-9	30
15	Jagiellonia	25	6	11	8	+1	29
16	Gornik Zabrze	26	7	7	12	-7	28
17	Lechia Gdansk	26	7	5	14	-17	26
18	Legnica	26	4	7	15	-16	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	13	12	1	0	+27	37
2	Legia	13	9	4	0	+13	31
3	Wisla Plock	13	7	3	3	+8	24
4	Cracovia	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Jagiellonia	13	6	2	5	+5	20
6	Lech Poznan	13	6	2	5	+4	20
7	Korona Kielce	13	6	2	5	+1	20
8	Pogon Szczecin	12	5	4	3	+1	19
9	Widzew Lodz	13	5	3	5	+1	18
10	Slask Wroclaw	13	4	6	3	-2	18
11	Stal Mielec	12	4	4	4	+2	16
12	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	4	5	-4	16
13	Warta Poznan	13	3	6	4	+1	15
14	Piast Gliwice	13	4	3	6	+0	15
15	Legnica	13	3	5	5	-4	14
16	Radomiak Radom	13	4	2	7	-4	14
17	Gornik Zabrze	13	3	4	6	-5	13
18	Zaglebie	14	2	5	7	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	13	6	6	1	+7	24
2	Rakow	13	7	3	3	+6	24
3	Legia	13	7	3	3	+2	24
4	Warta Poznan	13	7	2	4	+6	23
5	Pogon Szczecin	14	6	4	4	+1	22
6	Widzew Lodz	13	5	5	3	+2	20
7	Zaglebie	12	6	2	4	-3	20
8	Radomiak Radom	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Piast Gliwice	13	5	3	5	+1	18
10	Gornik Zabrze	13	4	3	6	-2	15
11	Stal Mielec	13	4	2	7	-6	14
12	Cracovia	13	3	4	6	-4	13
13	Slask Wroclaw	13	3	4	6	-7	13
14	Korona Kielce	13	2	4	7	-10	10
15	Lechia Gdansk	13	3	1	9	-13	10
16	Jagiellonia	12	0	9	3	-4	9
17	Wisla Plock	13	2	3	8	-8	9
18	Legnica	13	1	2	10	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.