Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Nieciecza
Zaglebie
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 49 |
| 2 |
Lech Poznan
|
24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | +30 | 48 |
| 3 |
Rakow
|
24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | +20 | 48 |
| 4 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +9 | 40 |
| 5 |
Radomiak Radom
|
24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 39 |
| 6 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 7 |
Wisla Plock
|
24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | -1 | 33 |
| 8 |
Stal Mielec
|
24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 |
Piast Gliwice
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 31 |
| 10 |
Cracovia
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 |
Jagiellonia
|
24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | -7 | 30 |
| 12 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 |
Legia
|
23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | -8 | 25 |
| 14 |
Zaglebie
|
24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 |
Warta Poznan
|
24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Leczna | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -17 | 24 |
| 17 |
Wisla
|
24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 23 |
| 18 |
Nieciecza
|
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nieciecza
Warta Poznan
Cracovia
Nieciecza
Nieciecza
Legia
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.