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Allsvenskan

Referee: Erik Mattsson

Orgryte

U T T T T

2–2

Full-time

Elfsborg

U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Orgryte Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 26%

11%

40%

Points per game

0,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

44%

30%

Both score Ø 63%

56%

70%

Average goals

3,4

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

2,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Orgryte 16. · Elfsborg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	9	8	1	0	+14	+7.7	25
2	Hammarby	10	5	2	3	+12	+6.9	17
3	Hacken	9	4	5	0	+5	+3.3	17
4	Elfsborg	10	4	5	1	+5	+1.8	17
5	Mjallby	10	4	3	3	+3	-1.9	15
6	Brommapojkarna	9	4	2	3	-1	-1.1	14
7	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+6	+3.3	13
8	GAIS	10	3	3	4	+2	+1.1	12
9	AIK	9	3	3	3	-1	-3.7	12
10	Vasteras SK	9	3	3	3	-4	-5.2	12
11	Kalmar	9	3	1	5	-1	+2.6	10
12	Malmo FF	9	3	1	5	-3	-2.2	10
13	Degerfors	9	2	3	4	-4	-2.1	9
14	Goteborg	9	1	4	4	-10	-1.0	7
15	Halmstad	9	1	3	5	-8	-3.4	6
16	Orgryte	9	1	2	6	-15	-5.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	5	5	0	0	+9	+5.9	15
2	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+15	+7.0	13
3	Elfsborg	6	3	3	0	+5	+1.4	12
4	Kalmar	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.1	10
5	GAIS	5	2	2	1	+5	+0.5	8
6	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.3	8
7	Djurgarden	6	2	1	3	+4	+1.2	7
8	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+2	-1.1	6
9	AIK	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.1	6
10	Halmstad	5	1	2	2	-3	-2.2	5
11	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
12	Degerfors	5	1	1	3	-6	-2.4	4
13	Malmo FF	4	1	0	3	-1	+1.3	3
14	Vasteras SK	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.3	3
15	Orgryte	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.4	2
16	Goteborg	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.0	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
2	Brommapojkarna	6	3	1	2	-1	+0.7	10
3	Hacken	5	2	3	0	+3	+1.0	9
4	Mjallby	6	2	3	1	+1	-0.8	9
5	Vasteras SK	5	3	0	2	-3	-4.9	9
6	Malmo FF	5	2	1	2	-2	-3.5	7
7	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.1	6
8	AIK	5	1	3	1	+0	-1.5	6
9	Degerfors	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.3	5
10	Elfsborg	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.4	5
11	Goteborg	5	1	2	2	-7	-1.0	5
12	GAIS	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.6	4
13	Hammarby	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.1	4
14	Orgryte	5	1	0	4	-13	-5.5	3
15	Halmstad	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.1	1
16	Kalmar	4	0	0	4	-4	+1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.